AMC Global Media, Inc. (AMCX)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
$12.48-2.42%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AMCX
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $12 AMCX trades at 20× p/e, below its 59× p/e peer median. Our $28 fair value sits well above the price. We hold it with low confidence: our number sits well above the analyst range and the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks. Analysts target $10–$11. Note: our $28 fair value sits above the entire analyst range ($10–$11). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $10.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $19.77 | 8.1 | 5.89 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $76.39 | 17.2 | 4.43 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $36.76 | 59.3 | 0.62 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$10.00 – $11.00 (median $10.00) · 3 analysts · as of 2026-08-12
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $79.56 |
| 1.5 |
| 52.22 |
| TTM |
| high |
| triangulated | 12M | $34.27 | 59.3 | 0.58 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $100.00 | 17.2 | 5.80 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $93.69 | 1.5 | 61.50 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $119.66 | 17.2 | 6.94 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $104.22 | 1.5 | 68.40 | Analyst | medium |