AMC Global Media, Inc. (AMCX)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
$12.48-2.42%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AMCX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -55.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 60.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 22 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AMCX — earnings miss
Dated 2026-07-30
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On July 30, 2026, AMC Global Media Inc. (the “Registrant”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the Registrant’s press release is being furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference in its entirety. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Excha…
Why it matters: A new CFO can change financial strategy. This could impact future performance and investor sentiment.
Watch forThe market reacted well to the new CFO's first big announcement.
Also watch forNegative market reaction or no change in stock price after the announcement.
Why it matters: Higher operating income means the company is making more money. This is a key goal for management.
Supportive ifOperating income for Q3 turns positive or improves from $15.9M in Q2.
Worry ifIf operating income goes down more or stays negative in Q3, it is a concern.
Why it matters: Steady revenue shows management is hitting its goals. This helps build trust with investors.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported between $540M and $600M.
Worry ifQ3 revenue falls outside the $540M-$600M range.
Why it matters: Improving cash flow shows better capital management, which is crucial for growth.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations increases from $67.5M in Q1.
Worry ifCash flow from operations continues to decline or stays low.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$184 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $424 loss on $10,000 · 4.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,487 loss on $10,000 · 34.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.