AMC Global Media, Inc. (AMCX)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-11-05
$8.43-0.35%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AMCX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -65.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 71.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 11 industry peers
AMCX — earnings miss
Dated 2026-07-30
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On July 30, 2026, AMC Global Media Inc. (the “Registrant”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the Registrant’s press release is being furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference in its entirety. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Excha…
Why it matters: Operating income fell from $31.3M in Q1 to $15.9M in Q2. A rise would show that profit gains are holding.
Supportive ifQ3 operating income is above $15.9M, the Q2 level.
Worry ifQ3 operating income is at or below $15.9M.
Why it matters: Revenue has stayed near this range. A break below it would weaken the record of stable sales.
Watch forQuarterly revenue stays between $540M and $600M.
Also watch forQuarterly revenue falls below $540M or rises above $600M.
Why it matters: The sector has faced a recent headwind. AMCX's next report can show whether its revenue remains steady.
Watch forReported revenue is at least $542.1M, the Q1 2026 level.
Also watch forReported revenue is below $542.1M.
Why it matters: Cash from operations fell to $67.5M in Q1 2026. A rise would show cash generation has improved.
Supportive ifQ3 cash from operations is above $67.5M.
Worry ifQ3 cash from operations is at or below $67.5M.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$149 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $421 loss on $10,000 · 4.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,047 loss on $10,000 · 40.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.