Apollo Global Management (APO)
NYSEFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-07-08
$118.16-0.98%
Close 2026-07-08 · 1-day change
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Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Asset Management & Custody Banks is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Apollo Global Management's growth has to keep compounding to justify the price. Recent financial performance has been weak, and the market is pricing in more growth than is forecast. It trades at 14× P/E versus an 18× peer median, indicating that expectations look full. A specific risk is the potential for a guidance cut on the next call, which our model puts at a 20% miss probability. Peer multiples imply a price about 4% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-08. APO is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 20 analysts currently covering APO (as of Jul 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $118.16. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Asset Management & Custody Banks — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Threatens: Record origination activity exceeding $300 billion
Withdrawal caps may hinder origination activity growth.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-08. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Leadership scrutiny could impact investor confidence.
Leadership scrutiny could impact investor confidence.
Backing AI infrastructure aligns with growth objectives.
Funding fears could impact growth objectives.
Partnership enhances growth potential.
Acquisition talks could enhance growth strategy.