Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
AQUA BOUNTY TECHNOLOGIES INC (AQB)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesAgricultural Farm ProductsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.95-13.64%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesAgricultural Farm ProductsSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
Matching fiscal periods, usable estimates and at least one analyst are required.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for AQB yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Manage financial obligations through Series A Preferred Stock issuance and note exchanges | AquaBounty aims to manage financial obligations by issuing Series A Preferred Stock and exchanging senior notes. | Intact | progress score falls below 30% | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a speculative, high-risk business rather than an established compounder. Its thesis is in a watch state, and confidence has fallen to low as recent financial performance remains weak.
The valuation model places AQB at a substantial premium to peers, with low confidence in that assessment. The expectations gap is elevated, while the evidence says the fragility signal is low because expensive valuation is not joined by the full combination of weak results and turbulence; the premium appears tied to possible future opportunities.
Near term, ongoing losses, negative operating cash flow, and reliance on preferred stock issuance leave the financial picture weak. Management has broadened its review of the Pioneer property to power and energy opportunities, but there are no financial measures yet to show progress. The next results also carry elevated miss risk, with weaker recent performance than industry peers.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, the thesis depends on whether management can turn the Pioneer review into a meaningful business opportunity and reduce reliance on new financing. Near term, weakening employment data could add pressure, while continued strength from sector bellwethers such as ADM, TSN, and BG could support the sector backdrop; misses or lower guidance from those companies could weaken that support.
AQB’s multi-year view is highly uncertain: possible new opportunities are not yet backed by delivery, while losses, financing needs, and weak execution remain central concerns. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A supporting condition in AQUA BOUNTY TECHNOLOGIES INC's published investment case. The stated target is No major control disruptions or management resignations. |
| Intact |
| Significant management turnover or control loss |
Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Achieve revenue growth near consensus of 4.3% next year | The company targets about 4% revenue growth next year. | Intact | YoY revenue growth falls below 3% | Required source inputs unavailable Cannot calculate Revenue growth from the available matching source inputs. Missing inputs are not treated as zero. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$-7.12 → $-7.12 · observed estimates
$0.00B → $0.00B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-25 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-26 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-27 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-28 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-29 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-30 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-31 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-03 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-04 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-05 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-06 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-07 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-09 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-10 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-11 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-12 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-13 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-14 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-17 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-18 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-19 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-20 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-21 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-24 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-25 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-26 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-27 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-01 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-02 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-10 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | $-7.12 | $2,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Monthly analyst history is unavailable.
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
Next earnings date unavailable
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.