ASP Isotopes, Inc. (ASPI)
NASDAQMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-05
NASDAQMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ASPI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 427.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 99.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 327.5 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and missed its most recent quarter. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 33 industry peers
ASPI — litigation filed
Dated 2026-10-26
and in the Press Release shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section or Sections 11 and 12(a)(2) of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and shall not be incorporated by reference into any filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, whether made by the Company before or after the date hereof, regardless of any general incorporation language in such filin…
Why it matters: Management said it is ramping toward nameplate output in Q4. Actual output will test that plan.
Supportive ifA company update confirms Phase 1 reached its planned helium output in Q4 2026.
Worry ifA company update says Phase 1 missed planned output in Q4 or later changed the target.
Why it matters: ASPI reported operating losses in both 2026-Q1 and Q2. A smaller loss would show better control of costs.
Supportive ifThe November 18 report shows operating loss below $34.195 million, the 2026-Q2 loss.
Worry ifThe November 18 report shows operating loss at or above $34.195 million.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$369 on $10,000 · ±3.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,029 loss on $10,000 · 10.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,089 loss on $10,000 · 80.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.