ATOUR LIFESTYLE HOLDINGS LTD (ATAT)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryTravel LodgingSnapshot 2026-09-04
$34.36-0.75%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryTravel LodgingSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ATAT
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $31 ATAT trades at 2.3× p/e, below its 18× p/e peer median. Our $205 fair value sits well above the price. We hold it with medium confidence: the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks and quality doesn't explain valuation multiples in this sub-industry, so the peer comparison is a weak guide. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $275.09 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $277.67 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $41.23 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $104.99 | 19.9 | 5.28 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
| $242.02 |
| 17.9 |
| 13.50 |
| TTM |
| high |
| PEG | 12M | $295.30 | 21.9 | 13.50 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $57.79 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $250.40 | 17.9 | 13.97 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $159.67 | 19.9 | 8.03 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $211.17 | 19.9 | 10.62 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |