Broadcom (AVGO)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$325.48-2.00%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AVGO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -5.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 78.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 83.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 41 industry peers
AVGO — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…
Dated 2026-10-27
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. On October 26, 2026, Broadcom Inc. (the “Company”) arranged for financial partners to take on a portion of certain agreements to purchase AI racks based on custom AI accelerators designed by the Company and the related lease agreements with the Company’s customer that enable the deployment of compute capacity. In connection with this arrangement, the Company is providing residual…
Why it matters: Broadcom guided to a 66% operating margin. Results will show if it can keep that level as sales grow.
Watch forQ4 non-GAAP operating income is at least 66% of revenue.
Also watch forQ4 non-GAAP operating income is below 66% of revenue.
Why it matters: Q4 revenue will test Broadcom's forecast for 93% growth from a year ago.
Watch forQ4 revenue is at least $34.8 billion.
Also watch forQ4 revenue is below $34.8 billion.
Why it matters: Broadcom arranged for partners to take on part of AI rack purchases and customer leases. Its residual role may leave it exposed if those deals falter.
Worry ifA company filing shows Broadcom's remaining exposure rises. Or a partner or customer misses a payment.
Less concerning ifA company filing shows partners take on the planned duties. No extra exposure or missed payments occur.
Why it matters: Q3 AI chip revenue grew 221% from a year ago. Q4 results will test whether that growth continues.
Watch forQ4 AI semiconductor revenue is at least $21.7 billion, as guided.
Also watch forQ4 AI chip revenue is below $21.7 billion.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$158 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $463 loss on $10,000 · 4.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,320 loss on $10,000 · 33.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.