Reading BBGI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track BBGI free→Reading BBGI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track BBGI free→NASDAQCommunication ServicesBroadcastingSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak. Earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent changes. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 88% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk. This pattern suggests potential issues due to weak financials or fragile earnings quality. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $20.16. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $20 BBGI trades at 0× p/s, below its 1× p/s peer median. Our $166 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 88% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about -14%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Communication Services names rated weak grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 53% for the rest of the cohort, n=701).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.04x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
14 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Communication Services names rated volatile grew net income 60% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=200).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLC
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$317.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$1,009.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $8,119.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
No named catalysts to watch right now. Check back after the next earnings report.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for BBGI yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
The Charter Amendment implements certain provisions of the 2027 PIK Notes Indenture (as defined below), the operation of which may, at a subsequent date, result in a change in control of the Company. On May 1, 2026, Beasley Mezzanine Holdings, LLC (the “Issuer”), a direct, wholly owned subsidiary of the Company, issued $98,475,254 in aggregate principal amount of 10.000% Senior Secured Second Lien PIK Notes due 2027 (the “2027 PIK Notes”) pursuant to an indenture, dated as of May 1, 2026 (the…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
BBGI BEASLEY BROADCAST GROUP INC | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 56 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Take actions to comply with Nasdaq's minimum stockholders' equity requirement for continued listing.
Focus on managing financial obligations, including the issuance of $98.5 million in PIK Notes.
Other Events. On June 12, 2026, Beasley Broadcast Group, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into an Equity Distribution Agreement (the “Equity Distribution Agreement”) with Noble Capital Markets, Inc., as sales agent (the “Sales Agent”), pursuant to which the Company may sell, from time to time, up to an aggregate offering price of $5,235,810 million of shares of its Class A Common Stock, par value $0.001 per share (the “Class A Common Stock”), in an “at-the-market” equity offering program through…
Material Modification to Rights of Security Holders. On June 4, 2026, Beasley Broadcast Group, Inc. (the “Company”) filed with the Secretary of State of the State of Delaware a Certificate of Amendment to its Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation (the “Charter Amendment”) to implement certain governance and structural provisions in connection with the Company’s entry into an Amended and Restated Transaction Support Agreement, dated as of April 27, 2026, by and among the Company an…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 13, 2026, Beasley Broadcast Group, Inc. issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fiscal quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 19…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On May 11, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Beasley Broadcast Group, Inc. (the “Company”) increased the size of the Board from six to seven directors and appointed Jeffrey D. Goldberg to fill the vacancy created by such increase, effective immediately. The Board also appointed Mr. Goldberg to serve on the Strategic Alternatives Committ…