BEASLEY BROADCAST GROUP INC (BBGI)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesBroadcastingSnapshot 2026-09-04
$17.39-3.60%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesBroadcastingSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BBGI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -85.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -4.4% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 81.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
BBGI — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-12
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 12, 2026, Beasley Broadcast Group, Inc. issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fiscal quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of…
Why it matters: Managing debts is important for BBGI's stability. New debt affects future payments.
Watch forBBGI lowers debt or improves cash flow.
Also watch forBBGI struggles to meet interest payments or faces further debt issuance.
Why it matters: Finishing this deal would make the balance sheet stronger. It would also give more financial options.
Supportive ifAnnouncement that the debt exchange deal is done.
Worry ifFailure to complete the debt exchange transaction by the end of April 2026.
Why it matters: The company works on managing its financial duties. This affects its stability.
Watch forA successful refinancing or a decrease in total debt is a positive sign.
Also watch forAn increase in debt or missed payments on current obligations is a warning.
Why it matters: The company got a notice for not meeting Nasdaq's equity rule. This impacts its listing.
Worry ifNasdaq says BBGI has met the minimum rule for stockholders' equity again.
Less concerning ifNasdaq may send a delisting notice or extend the deadline if there is no change.
Why it matters: Following Nasdaq rules is key to keeping the listing and investor trust.
Watch forManagement says they meet Nasdaq listing standards.
Also watch forManagement says there are still problems with Nasdaq compliance.
Why it matters: Higher operating costs may show management issues. This could hurt cost-saving efforts.
Worry ifOperating costs stay below $38 million in Q3.
Less concerning ifOperating costs go above $40 million in Q3.
Why it matters: Local revenue is a big part of Beasley's income. Steady growth shows success.
Supportive ifLocal revenue growth remains at or above 9% year-over-year.
Worry ifLocal revenue growth is less than 5% compared to last year.
Why it matters: Confirming the earnings miss will show ongoing problems in Beasley's advertising business. This will affect how investors feel.
Worry ifQ3 2026 results show a net revenue decline greater than 9.6% year-over-year.
Less concerning ifQ3 2026 results show net revenue decline less than 9.6% year-over-year.
Why it matters: Strong growth in digital revenue shows good changes to meet market needs.
Supportive ifDigital revenue growth reported above 15% YoY in Q2 2026.
Worry ifDigital revenue growth reported below 15% YoY in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Beasley needs stable digital revenue. This helps them earn more money.
Supportive ifDigital revenue grows at or above 7.1% year-over-year in Q3 2026.
Worry ifDigital revenue growth falls below 7.1% year-over-year in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Cutting debt is key. It gives more financial freedom and lowers interest costs.
Supportive ifManagement announces a debt reduction of at least $10 million in Q3 2026.
Worry ifNo further debt reduction is announced in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Cutting operating expenses will help Beasley make more money and improve cash flow.
Supportive ifOperating costs fall by at least 10% from last year in Q3 2026.
Worry ifOperating expenses do not decrease or increase in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Stabilizing local direct revenue is key for Beasley. It helps their overall revenue health.
Watch forLocal direct revenue stabilizes or grows in Q3 2026.
Also watch forLocal direct revenue declines further in Q3 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$325 on $10,000 · ±3.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,022 loss on $10,000 · 10.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,119 loss on $10,000 · 81.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.