BorgWarner (BWA)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$67.54+2.75%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BWA
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-06. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $68 BWA trades at 13× p/e, below its 14× p/e peer median. Our $71 fair value sits above the price. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $67–$95. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $83.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $293.94 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $392.56 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $12.46 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$67.00 – $95.00 (median $83.00) · 11 analysts · as of 2026-08-31
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $57.62 |
| — |
| — |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $63.51 | 7.5 | 9.38 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $87.93 | 14.6 | 6.02 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $71.06 | 13.5 | 5.25 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $44.62 | 0.6 | 69.85 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $58.34 | 11.1 | 5.25 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $40.58 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $68.54 | 13.1 | 5.25 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $76.98 | 13.5 | 5.69 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $133.73 | 14.6 | 9.16 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $77.90 | 13.5 | 5.76 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $44.59 | 0.6 | 69.81 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $63.95 | 11.1 | 5.76 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $75.14 | 13.1 | 5.76 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $176.86 | 14.6 | 12.11 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $75.11 | 13.5 | 5.55 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $43.00 | 0.6 | 67.32 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $61.66 | 11.1 | 5.55 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $72.45 | 13.1 | 5.55 | Analyst | medium |