BorgWarner (BWA)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$47.53-5.69%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BWA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -27.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 2.6% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 29.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 19 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
BWA — divestiture
Dated 2026-09-04
Regulation FD Disclosure In response to questions it has received, BorgWarner Inc. (the “Company”) reiterates its prior statements that the Company continues to expect turbine generator production to begin in Hendersonville, North Carolina in 2027, with an initial 2 GW of installed capacity. At present, the Company continues to expect turbine generator sales to be more than $300 million during the first year of production. Forward Looking Statements This Form 8-K may contain forward-looking s…
Why it matters: BorgWarner raised its adjusted EPS range to $5.20–$5.35. Meeting the low end would support its earnings outlook.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 adjusted EPS is at least $5.20.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 adjusted EPS is below $5.20, or the company cuts its range.
Why it matters: The company kept its free cash flow range at $900 million–$1.1 billion. A result below $900 million would miss that goal.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 free cash flow is below $900 million.
Less concerning ifFull-year 2026 free cash flow is at least $900 million.
Why it matters: The company tied its 2026 sales outlook to a $250 million decline in this segment. A larger drop adds pressure to sales.
Worry if2026 Battery Energy Systems sales decline by more than $250 million year over year.
Less concerning ifThe segment's 2026 sales decline is $250 million or less.
Why it matters: Organic sales fell 3.1% in Q3, while the consumer sector read points to shrinking revenue. A return to growth would counter that pressure.
Watch forQ4 2026 organic net sales grow year over year.
Also watch forQ4 2026 organic net sales fall year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$116 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $343 loss on $10,000 · 3.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,457 loss on $10,000 · 34.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.