Bankwell Financial Group, Inc. (BWFG)
NASDAQFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-09-04
$67.39+1.87%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BWFG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 16.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -25.4% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 41.5 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 219 industry peers
BWFG — dividend update
Dated 2026-07-23
Other Events Quarterly Dividend Announcement On July 23, 2026 , Bankwell Financial Group, Inc. (the Company), parent company of Bankwell Bank, announced that on July 23, 2026, its Board of Directors voted to pay a quarterly dividend in the amount of $0.20 per share on August 21, 2026 to all shareholders of record as of August 10, 2026.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth below median could signal sector weakness affecting Bankwell.
Worry ifSector revenue growth drops below its median.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median.
Why it matters: A drop in nonperforming loans shows better credit quality. This shows strong asset management.
Supportive ifNonperforming loans reported decrease from $15.9 million in Q2.
Worry ifNonperforming loans reported increase from $15.9 million in Q2.
Why it matters: Hitting this target shows the company can grow revenue. It backs up its yearly goals.
Supportive ifNet interest income reported for Q3 is $29.5 million or higher.
Worry ifNet interest income reported for Q3 is below $29.5 million.
Why it matters: Achieving this growth rate supports the company's strategy and confirms strong demand for loans.
Supportive ifLoan growth reported for 2026 is 5% or higher.
Worry ifLoan growth reported for 2026 is below 5%.
Why it matters: A steady dividend payout shows good capital use. It also shows trust in earnings.
Supportive ifDividend payout confirmed at $0.20 per share for Q3.
Worry ifDividend payout reduced from $0.20 per share for Q3.
Why it matters: Hitting this target shows strong earnings and growth. It means good management of interest income.
Supportive ifQ2 net interest income reported at $112M or higher.
Worry ifQ2 net interest income reported below $111M.
Why it matters: Higher noninterest expenses may mean rising costs. This could hurt profits.
Worry ifQ3 noninterest expense remains at or below $15.3 million.
Less concerning ifIn Q3, noninterest expense is more than $15.3 million.
Why it matters: A ratio under 50% means better cost control and efficiency.
Supportive ifThe efficiency ratio for Q3 is under 50%.
Worry ifEfficiency ratio reported for Q3 is 50% or higher.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$86 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $259 loss on $10,000 · 2.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,240 loss on $10,000 · 12.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.