Cadiz, Inc. (CDZI)
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated WaterSnapshot 2026-11-05
$3.40-6.85%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated WaterSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CDZI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 426.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 36.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 389.7 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and its industry peers have been missing lately. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 8 industry peers
CDZI — debt issuance
Dated 2026-10-29
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On October 29, 2026, Cadiz Inc. (the “Company”) entered into a placement agent agreement (the “Placement Agent Agreement”) with Roth Capital Partners, LLC, as exclusive placement agent (the “Placement Agent”), in connection with the Company’s offer and sale of 5,000,000 shares of its common stock, par value $0.01 per share (the “Shares”), to certain institutional investors in a registered direct offering. The Shares will be sold at a purchase price…
Why it matters: Cadiz says higher building costs are a key funding hurdle. A firm cost cap could help keep the project affordable for water buyers and equity partners.
Supportive ifCadiz reports a signed Guaranteed Maximum Price contract. It says final bids are within the agreed cost cap.
Worry ifCadiz reports that final bids exceed the cost cap or that it cannot secure a capped-price contract.
Why it matters: The EPA invited Cadiz to apply for up to $194 million. A loan award would show that one key source of low-cost project funding is in place.
Supportive ifThe EPA approves a WIFIA loan for the Northern Pipeline, with an amount and terms disclosed.
Worry ifThe EPA rejects the application, or Cadiz reports that it did not receive a loan award.
Why it matters: Cadiz plans to use the cash for project work and company needs. Closing would add funds, but issuing 5 million shares also raises the share count.
Watch forCadiz confirms that the offering closed and reports net proceeds near $20 million.
Also watch forCadiz reports that the offering did not close, or net proceeds are materially below $20 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$305 on $10,000 · ±3.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $684 loss on $10,000 · 6.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,694 loss on $10,000 · 56.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.