CI
CignaNYSEHealth CareHealthcare PlansSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, CI has a composite score of 24.8, categorized as "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 76.1 and reflects various factors, including a macro score of 31.5 and a management score of 75.1. The analysis is provisional and highlights risks related to labor, rates, and sector trends.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)0.01
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $7.39 → $7.56 (+2.3% / 30d). 12 raised, 2 cut, 21 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 7 maintained. 92% of analysts rate Buy.
6 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 18.5% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
18 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Increase adjusted income from operationsgrowthmixed65% progress
2/27: “The Cigna Group officials expect to reaffirm projected full year 2026 consolidated adjusted income from operations of at least $30.25 per share.”
Why this status
Stated in 5 of last 5 quarters. The guidance for adjusted income from operations increased from $29.60 per share in 2025 to at least $30.35 per share in 2026. Despite the increase in guidance, the status remains behind, indicating limited progress in achieving the target.
- 2.Achieve Cigna Healthcare income targetgrowthbehind14% progress
3/3: “Cigna Healthcare pre-tax adjusted income from operations of at least $4.5 billion.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. The target for Cigna Healthcare pre-tax adjusted income from operations is set at $4.5 billion. However, the status is behind, indicating that the company has not yet achieved this target.
- 3.Reach adjusted revenue goalgrowthbehind14% progressprovisional
2/5: “The Cigna Group's outlook for full year 2026 adjusted revenues is approximately $280.0 billion.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. The company has set an adjusted revenue goal of approximately $280.0 billion for 2026. The status is behind, suggesting that the company is not yet on track to meet this revenue target.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 26%; 252d 34%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −27%. Bad day move −3%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLV) — 0.79 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 43/100, drawdown 47/100, beta 79/100, earnings vol —.
Calm + bullish setup — clean pre-earnings positioning pattern.
via XLV
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Increase adjusted income from operations
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Focus on increasing adjusted income from operations to meet or exceed guidance.
Behind →MixedStated in 5 of last 5 quarters. The guidance for adjusted income from operations increased from $29.60 per share in 2025 to at least $30.35 per share in 2026. Despite the increase in guidance, the status remains behind, indicating limited progress in achieving the target.
65%CEO/CFO:“The Cigna Group officials expect to reaffirm projected full year 2026 consolidated adjusted income from operations of at least $30.25 per share.”8-KSource dated 2026-02-27Stated 5 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (5)
- 2026-Q18-K
“2026 outlook for adjusted income from operations increased to at least $30.35 per share”
- 2025-Q48-K
“Reaffirms 2025 outlook for adjusted income from operations of at least $29.60 per share”
- 2025-Q38-K
“Reaffirms 2025 outlook for adjusted income from operations of at least $29.60 per share”
- 2025-Q28-K
“Reaffirms 2025 outlook for adjusted income from operations of at least $29.60 per share”
- 2025-Q18-K
“The Cigna Group's outlook for full year 2025 consolidated adjusted income from operations is $29.60 per share.”
- #2
Achieve Cigna Healthcare income target
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Aim to achieve the Cigna Healthcare pre-tax adjusted income from operations target.
BehindNewly stated in 2026-Q1. The target for Cigna Healthcare pre-tax adjusted income from operations is set at $4.5 billion. However, the status is behind, indicating that the company has not yet achieved this target.
14%CEO/CFO:“Cigna Healthcare pre-tax adjusted income from operations of at least $4.5 billion.”8-KSource dated 2026-03-03Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (1)
- 2026-Q18-K
“Cigna Healthcare pre-tax adjusted income from operations of at least $4.5 billion.”
- #3
Reach adjusted revenue goal
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Strive to reach the full year 2026 adjusted revenue goal.
BehindNewly stated in 2026-Q1. The company has set an adjusted revenue goal of approximately $280.0 billion for 2026. The status is behind, suggesting that the company is not yet on track to meet this revenue target.
14%CEO/CFO:“The Cigna Group's outlook for full year 2026 adjusted revenues is approximately $280.0 billion.”8-KSource dated 2026-02-05Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisionalShow history (1)
- 2026-Q18-K
“The Cigna Group's outlook for full year 2026 adjusted revenues is approximately $280.0 billion.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
P/E over the last 5 years
0 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
CI Cigna | +25 | inexpensive | moderate |
LLY Lilly (Eli) | +21 | full | moderate |
JNJ Johnson & Johnson | +18 | full | low |
ABBV AbbVie | +12 | fair | low |
UNH UnitedHealth Group | +24 | fair | elevated |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If health_care sector trend rises from +0.06 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently RAISED as of 2026-04-30)-16 pts
- If labor state reverses from -0.31 (negative) to +0.31 (positive)-6.8 pts
- If health_care sector trend falls from +0.06 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-2.9 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-308d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 30, 2026, The Cigna Group issued a press release announcing results for the three months ended March 31, 2026. The press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and incorporated herein by reference. This information shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities A…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 54 - 2026-03-032mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Chief Executive Officer Succession On February 25, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of The Cigna Group (the “Company”) appointed Mr. Brian C. Evanko as Chief Executive Officer (“CEO”) of the Company, effective July 1, 2026. Mr. Evanko will succeed Mr. David M. Cordani, who will retire as the CEO of the Company effective July 1, 2026. Mr.…
executive changeneutralscore 17 - 2026-03-032mo agoItem 7.01
Regulation FD Disclosure. The Company is reaffirming projected full year 2026 consolidated adjusted income from operations of at least $30.25 per share. The Company is also reaffirming 2026 Evernorth pre-tax adjusted income from operations of at least $6.9 billion, and Cigna Healthcare pre-tax adjusted income from operations of at least $4.5 billion. The Cigna Group previously discussed its full year 2026 outlook in its press release dated February 5, 2026, and during the related investor con…
mna activitypositivescore 11 - 2026-02-272mo agoItem 7.01
Regulation FD Disclosure. 2026 Outlook Affirmation The Cigna Group (or “our”) officials expect to participate in meetings with investors and analysts over the next several weeks. During these meetings, The Cigna Group officials expect to reaffirm projected full year 2026 consolidated adjusted income from operations on a per share basis of at least $30.25 per share. The Cigna Group previously discussed its full year 2026 outlook in its press release dated February 5, 2026, and during the relat…
mna activitypositivescore 10 - 2026-02-053mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 5, 2026, The Cigna Group issued a press release announcing results for the three months and year ended December 31, 2025. The press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and incorporated herein by reference. This information shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by reference in any filing under th…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 8
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.