Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
CREATIVE MEDIA and COMMUNITY TRUST CORP (CMCT)
NASDAQReal EstateReit - OfficeSnapshot 2026-11-04
$3.58+4.68%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQReal EstateReit - OfficeSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
Matching fiscal periods, usable estimates and at least one analyst are required.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for CMCT yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Complete acquisition of First Western SBLC | CMCT is working to expand by completing the First Western SBLC acquisition. | Under Pressure | Acquisition not completed by 2026-Q1 | Acquisition not completed by 2026-Q1 No news of acquisition completion. Deadline passed. Capital allocation events unrelated to M&A. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 13, 2026
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a high-risk turnaround in real estate, not a proven durable compounder. The multi-year view is still on watch: management has made progress on liquidity and multifamily occupancy, but recent financial performance remains weak and earnings are loss-making.
The evidence does not provide a valuation comparison or a clear account of market expectations, so whether CMCT is cheap, fair, or expensive versus peers is unclear. The recent earnings miss and weak performance are evident, but the expectations gap cannot be assessed from this snapshot.
Near term, the risk of another earnings miss is elevated, following erratic surprises and the large miss reported for the quarter ended 2026-06-30. Over the multi-year view, multifamily occupancy has improved and balance-sheet actions have progressed, while office leasing has improved only slightly and the hotel renovation was substantially completed by 2026-Q2.
A favorable scenario depends in part on the Fed beginning to cut rates, which could support rate-sensitive real estate. The thesis also depends on continued progress in multifamily operations and liquidity, without another earnings miss. Weak results from major real estate peers could remove sector support, while another CMCT miss could deepen pressure on expectations.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, the case rests on management turning balance-sheet and occupancy progress into stronger operating results; current evidence remains mixed and near-term earnings risk is high. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A primary condition in CREATIVE MEDIA and COMMUNITY TRUST CORP's published investment case. The stated target is Operating cash flow improves to at least break even. |
| Improving |
| Operating cash flow remains negative beyond 2026-Q4 |
Cash from operations: $3.448M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: Operating cash flow improves to at least break even. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Aug 14, 20263,448,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Manage capital allocation through equity sales | The company manages capital by selling equity to support operations. | Intact | Equity sales accelerate causing significant dilution | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$-12.31 → $-9.00 · observed estimates
$0.11B → $0.10B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $-12.31 | $110,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-25 | $-12.31 | $110,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-26 | $-12.31 | $110,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-27 | $-12.31 | $110,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-28 | $-12.31 | $110,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-29 | $-12.31 | $110,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-30 | $-12.31 | $110,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-31 | $-12.31 | $110,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | $-12.31 | $110,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | $-12.31 | $110,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-03 | $-12.31 | $110,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-04 | $-12.31 | $110,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-05 | $-12.31 | $110,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-06 | $-12.31 | $110,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-07 | $-12.31 | $110,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | $-12.31 | $110,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-09 | $-12.31 | $110,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-10 | $-12.31 | $110,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-11 | $-12.31 | $110,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-12 | $-12.31 | $110,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-13 | $-12.31 | $110,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-14 | $-12.31 | $110,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | $-12.31 | $110,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | $-12.31 | $110,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-17 | $-12.31 | $110,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-18 | $-12.31 | $110,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-19 | $-12.31 | $110,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-20 | $-12.31 | $110,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-21 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-24 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-25 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-26 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-27 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-01 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-02 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-10 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | $-9.00 | $97,900,000 | 1 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 0 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.