CREATIVE MEDIA and COMMUNITY TRUST CORP (CMCT)
NASDAQReal EstateReit - OfficeSnapshot 2026-09-04
NASDAQReal EstateReit - OfficeSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CMCT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 16 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CMCT — capital allocation — Unregistered Sale of Equity Securities
Dated 2026-09-04
Unregistered Sale of Equity Securities. On August 19, 2026, August 26, 2026 and September 2, 2026, Creative Media & Community Trust Corporation (the “Company”) issued 21,695, 645 and 28,320 shares of Common Stock, par value $0.001 (“Common Stock”), respectively, in respect of redemptions of the Company’s Series A1 Preferred Stock, par value $0.001 (the “Series A1 Preferred Stock”), in lieu of cash payment for the redemption of 3,460, 120 and 5,481 shares of Series A1 Preferred Stock, respecti…
Why it matters: A smaller net loss shows better financial health. It also shows better operations.
Supportive ifNet loss attributable to common stockholders is less than $(11.0) million in Q3 2026.
Worry ifNet loss rises above $(14.3) million. This shows worse financial results.
Why it matters: Better cash flow means more efficiency. It also shows better financial health.
Supportive ifCash from operations is now positive. It rose after being negative $25.99 million.
Worry ifCash flow is still negative. This shows ongoing problems in operations.
Why it matters: The real estate sector is in a maturing phase. Improvement could signal better conditions for CMCT.
Supportive ifThere are signs that revenue growth is speeding up again in real estate.
Worry ifRevenue growth in the sector keeps slowing down.
Why it matters: A smaller net loss shows CMCT's finances and operations are getting better.
Supportive ifNet loss in Q2 is less than $(34.7) million, indicating better financial performance.
Worry ifNet loss in Q2 exceeds $(34.7) million, showing continued financial struggles.
Why it matters: More asset sales can strengthen the balance sheet and improve cash flow. This helps the company's long-term finances.
Supportive ifNew asset sales are announced to boost cash flow.
Worry ifNo new asset sales are announced and cash flow stays tight.
Why it matters: Selling assets can help the balance sheet. It can also improve cash flow.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of new asset sales in Q3 2026.
Worry ifNo asset sales announced. This may mean cash flow problems.
Why it matters: Better net operating income shows improved performance in the office market. This may signal a rise in leasing demand.
Supportive ifOffice segment net operating income goes above $4.0 million in Q3 2026.
Worry ifOffice segment net operating income falls below $4.0 million in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Higher net operating income shows better performance. It also means better financial health.
Supportive ifQ3 net operating income is over $9.3 million. This shows stronger performance.
Worry ifQ3 net operating income is below $9.3 million. This signals ongoing struggles.
Why it matters: Asset sales would show management's plan to strengthen the balance sheet and improve cash.
Supportive ifManagement announces the sale of one or more real estate assets.
Worry ifNo asset sales announced by management. This shows a lack of progress.
Why it matters: How CMCT uses its capital affects its stability and growth.
Watch forManagement shares a clear plan for capital use that builds investor trust.
Also watch forManagement does not give a clear plan for capital use or sells more equity.
Why it matters: Better leasing in offices shows recovery. This can lead to better financial results.
Supportive ifOffice portfolio leasing exceeds 72.3% in Q3 2026.
Worry ifOffice leasing falls below 71.9%. This shows ongoing problems.
Why it matters: Leasing the Oakland office building can help improve overall office occupancy. It is low now.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of a new lease agreement for the Oakland office building.
Worry ifNo new leases signed for the Oakland office building by the end of Q2.
Why it matters: A positive FFO would signal improved cash flow and financial health for CMCT.
Supportive ifQ2 FFO is positive. This shows better operational performance.
Worry ifQ2 FFO is still negative. This shows ongoing financial struggles.
Why it matters: Higher office leasing rates mean recovery. This leads to better financial results.
Supportive ifOffice leasing is over 72.3%. This shows better demand and occupancy.
Worry ifOffice leasing is below 71.9%. This shows ongoing problems in the office market.
Why it matters: Better cash flow means the company is healthier and runs well.
Supportive ifCash from operations is positive and grows from last quarter.
Worry ifCash from operations keeps going down or stays negative.
Why it matters: Completing this acquisition could help CMCT grow and improve its market position.
Supportive ifThe acquisition is done. Plans for integration are set.
Worry ifThere are more delays or the acquisition may be canceled.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$315 on $10,000 · ±3.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $2,328 loss on $10,000 · 23.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,981 loss on $10,000 · 99.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.