CREATIVE MEDIA and COMMUNITY TRUST CORP (CMCT)
NASDAQReal EstateReit - OfficeSnapshot 2026-11-05
$3.58+4.68%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQReal EstateReit - OfficeSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CMCT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 13 industry peers
CMCT — capital allocation — Unregistered Sale of Equity Securities
Dated 2026-09-10
Unregistered Sale of Equity Securities. On September 9, 2026, Creative Media & Community Trust Corporation (the “Company”) issued 7,477 shares of Common Stock, par value $0.001 (“Common Stock”), in respect of redemptions of the Company’s Series A1 Preferred Stock, par value $0.001 (the “Series A1 Preferred Stock”), in lieu of cash payment for the redemption of 1,388 shares of Series A1 Preferred Stock, including accrued and unpaid dividends. On September 9, 2026, the Company issued 23,078 sha…
Why it matters: Office leasing improved outside Oakland, but office occupancy was 71.9% in Q2. More signed leases would help office income recover.
Supportive ifExcluding Oakland, leased office space stays above 84.4% and signed leases exceed 16,176 square feet in a quarter.
Worry ifLeased space outside Oakland falls below 80%, or quarterly signed leases fall below 16,176 square feet.
Why it matters: The loan came due in 2026-Q3. CMCT chose not to add capital for a refinance and is still working with the servicer.
Worry ifA company filing or update says the servicer agreed to a long-term loan deal. The deal needs no added company capital.
Less concerning ifA filing reports no deal, a missed payment, or a transfer of the Oakland building to the lender.
Why it matters: CMCT has issued common shares to meet some preferred redemption requests. More share issues can dilute existing common holders.
Worry ifA new filing says common shares were issued instead of cash to redeem preferred shares.
Less concerning ifA new filing shows preferred redemption requests paid in cash, with no common shares issued for them.
Why it matters: Core FFO was a $3.4 million loss in Q2. The next report can show whether lower losses and better property income continue.
Watch forThe November 13 report shows Core FFO loss below $3.4 million and total segment NOI above $9.3 million.
Also watch forThe November 13 report shows Core FFO loss above $3.4 million or total segment NOI below $9.3 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$340 on $10,000 · ±3.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $2,422 loss on $10,000 · 24.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,985 loss on $10,000 · 99.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.