Coinbase (COIN)
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial Data & Stock ExchangesSnapshot 2026-07-07
$163.51-3.17%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
Reading COIN? This analysis is rebuilt every market day. Get it tracked free. No credit card.
Track COIN free→NASDAQFinancialsFinancial Data & Stock ExchangesSnapshot 2026-07-07
Reading COIN? This analysis is rebuilt every market day. Get it tracked free. No credit card.
Track COIN free→Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Financials is in deceleration. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 6% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens weak on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 22% growth a year, above the roughly 12% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 66% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskCoinbase aims to grow by expanding its offerings in stocks and crypto. The company recently won a UK license to offer stocks and derivatives. Revenue has been weak, with a significant earnings miss of -3825% in Q1 FY2026. It trades at a P/E of 63.5, which is much higher than the peer median of 16.5. The market is pricing in more growth than the company can deliver. If Coinbase cuts guidance, it could face a 29% chance of missing estimates. Peer multiples imply a price about 22% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-07. COIN is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 34 analysts currently covering COIN (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 12 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for COIN in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $163.51. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Financial Exchanges & Data — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Positive analyst outlook supports growth potential for Coinbase.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-07. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $163.51
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $163.51.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Tighter regulations could hinder growth and operations.
UK approval enhances market access and growth potential.
Upgrade indicates positive outlook for Coinbase's growth.
Advances: Grow the Everything Exchange
New license expands offerings, supporting growth objectives.
Advances: Grow the Everything Exchange
Approval enhances product offerings, boosting growth potential.
Advances: Scale stablecoins and payments infrastructure
Partnership with Visa and Mastercard enhances stablecoin infrastructure.
Cost cuts and volume recovery align with growth objectives.