Americold Realty Trust Inc (COLD)
NYSEReal EstateReit - IndustrialSnapshot 2026-09-04
$14.22+0.78%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - IndustrialSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · COLD
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $14, COLD's earnings are too small for P/E to mean much; on sales it trades at 44× p/e (3.4× the 13× p/e peer median, and 1.0× even its own history). At a normal multiple the price implies ~6% near-term growth vs our ~-2% forecast. That gap is an optionality premium a financial-multiple model can't price — our $13 fair value covers only the as-is business, low confidence. Analysts target $13–$19. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $16.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $1.86 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $7.84 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $34.90 | 3.8 | 9.11 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$13.00 – $19.00 (median $16.00) · 12 analysts · as of 2026-08-18
No fragility gates fired.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $6.76 |
| — |
| — |
| TTM |
| high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $14.48 | 45.3 | 0.32 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $3.93 | 13.2 | 0.30 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $21.80 | 3.8 | 5.69 | guidance | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $12.72 | 45.3 | 0.28 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $15.92 | 3.8 | 4.16 | guidance | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $9.29 | 45.3 | 0.21 | Analyst | high |