ConocoPhillips (COP)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$134.26-1.08%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
Put COP beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Recent financial performance freshly dropped to the bottom half of its industry.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 10% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 28% growth a year, above the roughly 3% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskConocoPhillips (COP) must maintain strong project execution to justify its current price. Recent financial performance has dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry. The latest earnings beat showed an EPS surprise of 9.5%. COP trades at 17.3× P/E versus a peer median of 17.9×. The market is pricing in more growth than expected, indicating full expectations. Specific risks include a 22% probability of a miss in the next quarter. Peer multiples imply a price about 28% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. COP is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 26 analysts currently covering COP (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 10 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for COP in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare COP with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Free account required to save the handoff. No credit card.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COP Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Oil & Gas Exploration & Production — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put COP next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Advance commercial LNG strategy
New CFO may shift LNG and Willow project priorities.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $134.26
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $134.26.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Return 45% of cash from operations to shareholders
Earnings beat supports cash return to shareholders.
Advances: Advance commercial LNG strategy
LNG strategy success could significantly enhance valuation.
Advances: Maintain and grow production levels
Low-cost inventory supports production growth and cash flow.
Advances: Advance major projects on schedule
Strong project pipeline supports advancement of major projects.
Leadership change may disrupt strategic execution and objectives.
Advances: Maintain and grow production levels
Leadership change may enhance production growth initiatives.
Advances: Maintain and grow production levels
Oil bull market supports production growth objectives.
