ConocoPhillips (COP)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas E&pSnapshot 2026-07-08
$108.39+4.64%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Track COP free→Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
ConocoPhillips needs to maintain production growth to justify its current price. The company recently beat earnings expectations with an EPS of 1.89, showing steady performance. It trades at 17× P/E, slightly above the peer median of 15×. This suggests the price reflects less growth than expected. If the company cuts guidance, it could face a significant decline. Peer multiples imply a price about 6% below where it trades; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-07. COP is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 26 analysts currently covering COP (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 8 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for COP in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $108.39. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Oil & Gas Exploration & Production — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Threatens: Return 45% of cash from operations to shareholders
Lower commodity outlook may affect cash returns to shareholders.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-07. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $108.39
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $108.39.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Expected bullish Q2 print supports production and financial outlook.
Upgrade suggests positive outlook on company performance.
Advances: Maintain production guidance
New deal supports production growth and guidance.
Syria gas deal enhances growth and production objectives.
Advances: Maintain production guidance
MoU supports production growth through new exploration.
Threatens: Manage capital expenditures
Sale of assets may hinder production growth.
Advances: Manage capital expenditures
Acquisition supports production growth objectives.