Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Core Scientific, Inc. (CORZ)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-11-04
$12.76-10.39%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
0.26 → 0.18 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 8 analysts
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 8 to 8; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for CORZ yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Manage $3.3 billion debt offering and improve financial stability | Core Scientific is a leader in AI infrastructure with a $3.3 billion debt offering supporting capital allocation. | Intact | Debt levels increase materially or financial stability worsens | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 5, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a high-risk growth and business-transition story, moving from digital asset mining toward data center colocation. The long-term thesis is in a watch state: management has made progress on capacity and revenue, but recent financial performance is weak and earnings quality is fragile.
CORZ trades at a substantial premium to peers, while the model shows a large gap between expectations and its current setup; confidence in that estimate is low. The evidence labels the premium as justified and the priced-in fragility as low, so it does not indicate that the market has fully priced in weak execution and turbulence.
Near term, earnings risk is elevated, with a 56% estimated chance of a miss next quarter after a run of recent misses. Over the multi-year view, colocation revenue and billed capacity have grown, and management has expanded power capacity, but mining revenue has declined as facilities are repurposed.
The thesis hinges on whether management can keep expanding colocation and convert that capacity into reliable revenue while managing the costs and obligations tied to acquisitions. Near-term conditions could improve if interest rates ease and major technology companies stabilize, while materially slower economic growth would add pressure.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, CORZ’s long-term thesis rests on successful execution of its shift toward colocation, against weak recent results, high risk, and a valuation premium to peers. The evidence supports monitoring execution rather than treating the transition as proven. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A primary condition in Core Scientific, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is EPS >= $0.30. |
| Broken |
| EPS remains negative or below $0.30 in FY27 |
Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Revenue growth at or above -8% next year | A primary condition in Core Scientific, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is >= -8% YoY. | Broken | YoY revenue growth falls below -8% in FY27 | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$0.44 → $0.18 · observed estimates
$1.11B → $1.13B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $0.44 | $1,106,054,612 | 6 / 11 |
| 2026-07-25 | $0.44 | $1,106,054,612 | 6 / 11 |
| 2026-07-26 | $0.44 | $1,106,054,612 | 6 / 11 |
| 2026-07-27 | $0.44 | $1,106,054,612 | 6 / 11 |
| 2026-07-28 | $0.44 | $1,106,054,612 | 6 / 11 |
| 2026-07-29 | $0.53 | $1,111,692,020 | 5 / 10 |
| 2026-07-30 | $0.38 | $1,137,400,965 | 6 / 10 |
| 2026-07-31 | $0.31 | $1,161,123,743 | 6 / 11 |
| 2026-08-01 | $0.31 | $1,161,123,743 | 6 / 11 |
| 2026-08-02 | $0.18 | $1,161,545,560 | 2 / 16 |
| 2026-08-03 | $0.31 | $1,161,123,743 | 6 / 11 |
| 2026-08-04 | $0.18 | $1,161,545,560 | 2 / 16 |
| 2026-08-05 | $0.14 | $1,153,251,810 | 3 / 16 |
| 2026-08-06 | $0.30 | $1,155,529,967 | 6 / 11 |
| 2026-08-07 | $0.30 | $1,155,529,967 | 6 / 11 |
| 2026-08-08 | $0.14 | $1,153,251,810 | 3 / 16 |
| 2026-08-09 | $0.14 | $1,153,251,810 | 3 / 16 |
| 2026-08-10 | $0.30 | $1,155,529,967 | 6 / 11 |
| 2026-08-11 | $0.14 | $1,153,251,810 | 3 / 16 |
| 2026-08-12 | $0.30 | $1,155,529,967 | 6 / 11 |
| 2026-08-13 | $0.14 | $1,153,251,810 | 3 / 16 |
| 2026-08-14 | $0.30 | $1,155,529,967 | 6 / 11 |
| 2026-08-15 | $0.30 | $1,155,529,967 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-08-16 | $0.30 | $1,155,529,967 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-08-17 | $0.30 | $1,155,529,967 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-08-18 | $0.30 | $1,155,529,967 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-08-19 | $0.30 | $1,155,529,967 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-08-20 | $0.30 | $1,155,529,967 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-08-21 | $0.30 | $1,155,529,967 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-08-22 | $0.30 | $1,155,529,967 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-08-23 | $0.30 | $1,155,529,967 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-08-24 | $0.30 | $1,155,529,967 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-08-25 | $0.30 | $1,155,529,967 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-08-26 | $0.30 | $1,155,529,967 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-08-27 | $0.30 | $1,155,529,967 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-08-28 | $0.30 | $1,155,529,967 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-08-29 | $0.30 | $1,155,529,967 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-08-30 | $0.30 | $1,155,529,967 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-08-31 | $0.30 | $1,155,529,967 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-09-01 | $0.30 | $1,155,529,967 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-09-02 | $0.30 | $1,155,529,967 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-09-03 | $0.30 | $1,155,529,967 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-09-04 | $0.30 | $1,155,529,967 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-09-05 | $0.30 | $1,139,090,553 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-09-06 | $0.30 | $1,139,090,553 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-09-07 | $0.30 | $1,139,090,553 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-09-08 | $0.30 | $1,139,090,553 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-09-09 | $0.30 | $1,139,090,553 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-09-10 | $0.30 | $1,139,090,553 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-09-11 | $0.30 | $1,139,088,200 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-09-12 | $0.30 | $1,139,088,200 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-09-13 | $0.30 | $1,139,088,200 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-09-14 | $0.30 | $1,139,088,200 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-09-15 | $0.30 | $1,139,088,200 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-09-16 | $0.30 | $1,139,088,200 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-09-17 | $0.30 | $1,139,088,200 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-09-18 | $0.30 | $1,139,088,200 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-09-19 | $0.28 | $1,134,544,411 | 7 / 11 |
| 2026-09-20 | $0.28 | $1,134,544,411 | 7 / 12 |
| 2026-09-21 | $0.28 | $1,134,544,411 | 7 / 12 |
| 2026-09-22 | $0.28 | $1,137,963,760 | 7 / 12 |
| 2026-09-23 | $0.28 | $1,137,963,760 | 7 / 12 |
| 2026-09-24 | $0.28 | $1,148,619,466 | 8 / 13 |
| 2026-09-25 | $0.28 | $1,148,619,466 | 8 / 13 |
| 2026-09-26 | $0.28 | $1,148,619,466 | 8 / 13 |
| 2026-09-27 | $0.27 | $1,141,261,396 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-09-28 | $0.27 | $1,141,261,396 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-09-29 | $0.27 | $1,141,261,396 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-09-30 | $0.27 | $1,141,261,396 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-01 | $0.26 | $1,137,123,301 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-02 | $0.26 | $1,137,122,863 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-03 | $0.26 | $1,137,122,863 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-04 | $0.26 | $1,137,122,863 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-05 | $0.26 | $1,137,122,863 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-06 | $0.26 | $1,137,122,863 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-07 | $0.26 | $1,137,122,863 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-08 | $0.26 | $1,137,122,863 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-09 | $0.26 | $1,137,122,863 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-10 | $0.26 | $1,137,122,863 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-11 | $0.26 | $1,137,122,863 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-12 | $0.26 | $1,137,122,863 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-13 | $0.26 | $1,137,122,863 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-14 | $0.26 | $1,137,122,863 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-15 | $0.26 | $1,137,132,387 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-16 | $0.26 | $1,137,134,254 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-17 | $0.26 | $1,137,134,254 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-18 | $0.21 | $1,137,134,254 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-19 | $0.21 | $1,137,134,254 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-20 | $0.21 | $1,137,134,254 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-21 | $0.21 | $1,137,134,254 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-22 | $0.21 | $1,137,134,254 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-23 | $0.21 | $1,137,134,254 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-24 | $0.21 | $1,137,134,254 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-25 | $0.18 | $1,131,472,349 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-26 | $0.18 | $1,131,472,349 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-27 | $0.18 | $1,131,472,349 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-28 | $0.18 | $1,131,472,349 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-29 | $0.18 | $1,131,472,349 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-30 | $0.18 | $1,131,472,349 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-10-31 | $0.18 | $1,131,472,349 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-11-01 | $0.18 | $1,131,472,349 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-11-02 | $0.18 | $1,131,472,349 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-11-03 | $0.18 | $1,131,472,349 | 8 / 14 |
| 2026-11-04 | $0.18 | $1,131,472,349 | 8 / 14 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 20 Buy / Strong Buy · 2 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 5 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.