CUSTOM TRUCK ONE SOURCE, INC. (CTOS)
NYSEIndustrialsRental & Leasing ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$9.19+2.80%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsRental & Leasing ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CTOS
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $9.19 CTOS trades at 45× p/e — 2.0× the 22× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $8.99 fair value is low-confidence here. Analysts target $12–$14. Note: our $8.99 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($12–$14). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $13.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| graham number | 12M | $4.05 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $10.53 | 14.2 | 1.49 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $4.56 | 22.2 | 0.21 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$12.00 – $14.00 (median $13.00) · 5 analysts · as of 2026-08-17
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $9.38 |
| 1.1 |
| 8.86 |
| TTM |
| high |
| PEG | 12M | $6.89 | 33.6 | 0.21 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $2.96 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $4.76 | 22.2 | 0.21 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $6.93 | 22.2 | 0.31 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $11.69 | 1.1 | 11.04 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $10.48 | 33.6 | 0.31 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $9.17 | 22.2 | 0.41 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $13.49 | 1.1 | 12.74 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $13.86 | 33.6 | 0.41 | Analyst | medium |