DD
DuPontNYSEMaterialsSpecialty ChemicalsSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, DD has a composite score of 19.7, indicating a "mild favorable" signal. The score is driven by high confidence in guidance credibility at 87.5 and a moderate risk label with a total risk score of 47.6. Key drivers include macroeconomic factors such as growth, inflation, labor, and rates. The valuation score is 70.0, categorized as "inexpensive."
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share0.07
- Slope (norm)-0.74
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $0.60 → $0.59 (-1.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 6 cut, 13 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 4 maintained. 81% of analysts rate Buy.
2 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 20.2% above current price.
1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
Transition story with positive analyst positioning — often a turnaround setup.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
9 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
- 2026-04-15DD — CEO transitionimpact 0.76
- 2026-01-20DD — COO transitionimpact 0.49
- 2025-11-19DD — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…impact 0.20
- 2025-03-17DD — President transitionimpact 0.18
- 2025-11-19DD — M&A activity — Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement Consent Solicitations – Fifth Supp…impact 0.17
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Achieve 2% organic growth in Q1 2026growthbehind14% progress
2/10: “Our first quarter net sales assumes about 2% organic growth coupled with a currency tailwind of about 2%.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. The guidance for Q1 2026 included an assumption of 2% organic growth. However, the financials show a revenue decline from $3,072 million in 2025-Q3 to -$2,541 million in 2025-Q4, indicating limited progress towards this growth target.
- 2.Align 2026 guidance with medium-term targetsgrowthbehind14% progress
2/10: “Our 2026 guidance is in line with the medium-term targets communicated at our recent investor day.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. The company claims alignment of 2026 guidance with medium-term targets. However, financials show a net income decline from $454 million in 2024-Q3 to $578 million in 2025-Q4, suggesting challenges in achieving these targets.
- 3.Manage CEO transitiontalentmixed65% progress
4/15: “Luke Kissam tendered his resignation as a member of the Board of Directors, effective April 14, 2026.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q2. The CEO transition is underway with Luke Kissam's resignation effective April 14, 2026. The impact on financial performance is yet to be seen, but the transition is being monitored closely.
Guidance track record
Last 8 quarters of EPS guidance with actuals.
Per-quarter detail
| Period | Guidance | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-09-30 | $1.11 – $1.13 | $1.15 | beat |
| 2022-03-31 | $0.94 – $1.00 | $0.82 | miss |
| 2023-03-31 | $0.80 | $0.84 | unclassifiable |
| 2024-03-31 | $0.63 – $0.65 | $0.79 | beat |
| 2024-09-30 | $1.03 | $1.18 | beat |
| 2024-12-31 | $0.98 | $1.13 | beat |
| 2025-09-30 | $1.15 | $1.09 | unclassifiable |
| 2026-03-31 | $0.48 | $0.55 | unclassifiable |
Beat / inside / miss is computed from the guided range when issued; for point-estimate quarters a ±5% tolerance band around the mid is used. surprise_pct_vs_mid is unstable when guided EPS is near zero, so it is not surfaced as a headline.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 39%; 252d 31%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −17%. Bad day move −3%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLB) — 0.05 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 49/100, drawdown 65/100, beta 5/100, earnings vol —.
via XLB
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 88% of the last 8 guided quarters · 33.0% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Achieve 2% organic growth in Q1 2026
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Focus on achieving 2% organic growth in the first quarter of 2026.
BehindNewly stated in 2026-Q1. The guidance for Q1 2026 included an assumption of 2% organic growth. However, the financials show a revenue decline from $3,072 million in 2025-Q3 to -$2,541 million in 2025-Q4, indicating limited progress towards this growth target.
14%CEO/CFO:“Our first quarter net sales assumes about 2% organic growth coupled with a currency tailwind of about 2%.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-10Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (1)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Our first quarter net sales assumes about 2% organic growth coupled with a currency tailwind of about 2%.”
- #2
Align 2026 guidance with medium-term targets
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Ensure that the 2026 guidance aligns with the medium-term targets set by the company.
BehindNewly stated in 2026-Q1. The company claims alignment of 2026 guidance with medium-term targets. However, financials show a net income decline from $454 million in 2024-Q3 to $578 million in 2025-Q4, suggesting challenges in achieving these targets.
14%CEO/CFO:“Our 2026 guidance is in line with the medium-term targets communicated at our recent investor day.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-10Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (1)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Our 2026 guidance is in line with the medium-term targets communicated at our recent investor day.”
- #3
Manage CEO transition
TalentNew since 2026-05-04Oversee the transition of the CEO to ensure continuity and stability.
Watch →MixedNewly stated in 2026-Q2. The CEO transition is underway with Luke Kissam's resignation effective April 14, 2026. The impact on financial performance is yet to be seen, but the transition is being monitored closely.
65%CEO/CFO:“Luke Kissam tendered his resignation as a member of the Board of Directors, effective April 14, 2026.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-15Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (1)
- 2026-Q2Multiple sources
“Luke Kissam tendered his resignation as a member of the Board of Directors, effective April 14, 2026.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Not enough peers to compare yet.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
44 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
DD DuPont | +20 | inexpensive | moderate |
LIN Linde plc | +24 | inexpensive | moderate |
NEM Newmont | +17 | inexpensive | elevated |
FCX Freeport-McMoRan | +6.4 | — | elevated |
SHW Sherwin-Williams | +18 | inexpensive | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If materials sector trend rises from +0.10 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-05-05)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-05-05)-8.0 pts
- If materials sector trend falls from +0.10 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-3.5 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-053d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 5, 2026, DuPont de Nemours, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release, attached as Exhibit 99.1, and incorporated herein by reference, announcing results for the first quarter 2026. The information contained in this report, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed filed for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, (the "Exchange Act") or otherwise subject to the…
earnings preannouncementpositivescore 67 - 2026-04-1523d agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On April 13, 2026, Luke Kissam tendered his resignation as a member of the Board of Directors of DuPont de Nemours, Inc. (the “Company”), effective April 14, 2026, in connection with his future appointment as Chief Executive Officer of Corteva, Inc. Mr. Kissam’s departure is not the result of any disagreement with the Company on any matter relating…
executive changeneutralscore 47 - 2026-02-102mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 10, 2026, DuPont de Nemours, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release, attached as Exhibit 99.1, and incorporated herein by reference, announcing results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025. The information contained in this report, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed filed for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, (the "Exchange Act") or othe…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 9 - 2026-01-203mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers On January 20, 2026 DuPont de Nemours, Inc. (the “Company”) appointed D.G. Macpherson to its Board of Directors, effective immediately. The Board of Directors determined that Mr. Macpherson is an “independent director” in accordance with the New York Stock Exchange listing standards, the rules and regulations of the Securities and Exchange Commissio…
executive changeneutralscore 5 - 2025-12-045mo agoItem 8.01
Other Events. In connection with its Current Report on Form 8-K filed on November 3, 2025, DuPont de Nemours, Inc., a Delaware corporation (“DuPont”), indicated it would disclose the numeric percentage of the Applicable Percentage (as defined below) of DuPont and the resulting Minimum EBITDA (as defined in that certain Letter Agreement, dated as of June 1, 2019, by and between DuPont (f/k/a DowDuPont Inc.) and Corteva, Inc.) in respect of DuPont once determined after the spin-off on November…
mna activityneutralscore 1
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.