Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG)
NYSEIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$117.24+1.90%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ECG
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $117 ECG trades at 24× p/e, below its 41× p/e peer median. Our $133 fair value sits above the price. We hold it with low confidence: our number sits below the analyst range and the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks. Analysts target $152–$200. Note: our $133 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($152–$200). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $176.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $85.16 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $94.11 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| graham number | 12M | $41.09 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$152.00 – $200.00 (median $172.00) · 5 analysts · as of 2026-08-20
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $128.49 |
| 26.3 |
| 4.89 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $206.08 | 41.5 | 4.97 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $99.30 | 1.2 | 83.30 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $137.14 | 27.6 | 4.97 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $26.19 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $155.75 | 31.3 | 4.97 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $224.90 | 41.5 | 5.42 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $313.08 | 41.5 | 7.55 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $138.18 | 1.2 | 115.93 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $208.34 | 27.6 | 7.55 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $236.61 | 31.3 | 7.55 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $413.73 | 41.5 | 9.98 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $160.61 | 1.2 | 134.74 | guidance | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $275.33 | 27.6 | 9.98 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $312.68 | 31.3 | 9.98 | Analyst | high |