Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG)
NYSEIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-11-05
$72.44-9.12%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ECG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -43.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 18.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 61.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 15 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ECG — credit agreement
Dated 2026-09-08
Entry Into a Material Definitive Agreement. On September 1, 2026, Everus Construction Group, Inc. (the "Company") entered into a First Amendment (the "First Amendment") to the Credit Agreement, dated October 31, 2024, by and among the Company, as borrower, JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., as administrative agent and collateral agent, and the other financial institutions from time to time party thereto (the “Original Credit Agreement” and together with the First Amendment, the "Credit Agreement"). P…
Why it matters: T&D backlog was below its year-ago level in Q2, even as revenue grew. A recovery would show that new utility work is keeping pace.
Watch forT&D backlog rises above $410.1 million, its June 30, 2025 level.
Also watch forT&D backlog stays below $388.4 million, its June 30, 2026 level, in the next reported quarter.
Why it matters: Everus raised its 2026 outlook twice before buying Epsilon. The next update can show how much growth the deal adds.
Watch forOn Nov. 3, Everus keeps or raises its revenue guidance above $4.5 billion and EBITDA guidance above $410 million. This includes Epsilon.
Also watch forOn Nov. 3, Everus cuts revenue guidance below $4.5 billion or EBITDA guidance below $410 million.
Why it matters: E&M drove much of the recent growth, with data center work a key source. A backlog decline could signal weaker future workloads.
Watch forE&M backlog rises above $4.16 billion, its June 30, 2026 level.
Also watch forE&M backlog falls below $4.16 billion in the next reported quarter.
Why it matters: Everus paid $295 million for Epsilon to expand modular work and reach. Reported revenue and margins can show whether the deal is adding scale without hurting profits.
Watch forEverus reports Epsilon results. Its total EBITDA margin stays at or above the Q2 level of 10.4%.
Also watch forEverus reports a total EBITDA margin below 10.4%. It links the drop to Epsilon or its financing.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$211 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $703 loss on $10,000 · 7.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,718 loss on $10,000 · 57.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.