Emerald Holding, Inc. (EEX)
NYSECommunication ServicesAdvertising AgenciesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$5.040.00%
Close 2026-07-14 · 1-day change
NYSECommunication ServicesAdvertising AgenciesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EEX
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $5.04 the market pays 32× p/e — above the 20× p/e peer median but in line with its own 32× history. That premium reflects a durable franchise our peer-anchored $2.81 fair value understates; treat the 'expensive vs peers' read with medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $1.26 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $0.64 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $2.45 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $4.43 | 15.5 | 0.29 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Only expensive valuation — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 32% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 7.0 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $0.18/sh owner earnings.
Not enough peers to compare yet.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
| $3.06 |
| 19.5 |
| 0.16 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $2.85 | 1.2 | 2.36 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $1.75 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $5.03 | 32.1 | 0.16 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $2.93 | 19.5 | 0.15 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $1.72 | 15.5 | 0.11 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $3.40 | 1.2 | 2.82 | guidance | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $0.92 | 15.5 | 0.06 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $3.71 | 1.2 | 3.08 | guidance | medium |