Elme Communities (ELME)
NYSEReal EstateReit - ResidentialSnapshot 2026-09-04
$1.69+0.60%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - ResidentialSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ELME
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -81.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 21.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 102.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 17 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ELME — credit agreement
Dated 2026-08-20
Other Events. As previously disclosed, on July 23, 2026, Elme Riverside Apartments LLC (the “Riverside Seller”), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Elme Communities (the “Trust”), and FPA Multifamily, LLC (the “Riverside Buyer”), entered into a purchase and sale agreement (the “Riverside Agreement”) for the sale of Riverside Apartments, a 1,222 unit community located in Alexandria, Virginia and related undeveloped land, for a contract sale price of $250.0 million, subject to customary prorations an…
Why it matters: Finishing the sale or having problems can affect cash flow and selling plans.
Worry ifThe Riverside Apartments sale was completed. This shows they have enough cash.
Less concerning ifThere are more delays or the Riverside Apartments sale may be canceled.
Why it matters: Stable payments show good asset sales. They also show management cares about the shareholders.
Supportive ifLiquidating payments stay between $16.41 and $16.61 for each share.
Worry ifLiquidating payments fall below $16.41 for each share.
Why it matters: This range shows how well the company can give money back to shareholders during liquidation.
Supportive ifTotal payouts confirmed between $16.41 and $16.61 per share.
Worry ifIf payouts are below $16.41 per share, it means asset sales were worse than expected.
Why it matters: Delisting is the last step in liquidation. It impacts what shareholders receive.
Watch forThe company confirms its intention to delist from the NYSE in Q4 2026.
Also watch forThe company delays or cancels its planned NYSE delisting.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$62 on $10,000 · ±0.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $196 loss on $10,000 · 2.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,755 loss on $10,000 · 57.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows trust in cash flow and money management.
Supportive ifThe company declares a dividend of $0.18 per share for the next quarter.
Worry ifThe company reduces the dividend below $0.18 per share.
Why it matters: This sale is part of the liquidation plan. It affects how assets are shared.
Supportive ifThe sale of Elme Bethesda is completed by August 11, 2026.
Worry ifThe sale of Elme Bethesda is not completed by August 11, 2026.
Why it matters: Progress on the sale of properties is key for Elme's capital strategy. It shows how well the company is executing its liquidation plan.
Supportive ifThey announced more property sales. This is in addition to the five already sold.
Worry ifNo new sales were announced. This shows delays in selling the properties.