Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Elme Communities (ELME)
NYSEReal EstateReit - ResidentialSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.050.00%
Close 2026-11-03 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - ResidentialSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
Matching fiscal periods, usable estimates and at least one analyst are required.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for ELME yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maintain dividend at $0.18 per share | The company targets a dividend of $0.18 per share, maintaining shareholder returns during wind-down. | Under Pressure | Dividend per share falls below $0.18 in 2026-Q1 | Dividend per share: $0.18 per share FY2025-Q3; GAAP. Published target: Dividend per share >= $0.18. The stored target says 2026-Q1; this source reports FY2025-Q3. Fiscal/calendar alignment needs review. Oct 24, 20250.18 USD/share · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Next earnings date unavailable
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a liquidation situation rather than a conventional long-term operating-company thesis. Property sales are complete, but the remaining trust transfer and dissolution steps are not confirmed; the thesis state is watch, and evidence confidence is low.
The valuation evidence describes ELME as cheap versus peers, while also showing a negative expectations gap and medium model confidence. The priced-in tag is justified, and the evidence reports low fragility, but these labels do not remove the risks tied to weak results and liquidation execution.
Near term, financial performance is weak, earnings quality is loss-making, management is rated volatile, and the next-quarter miss risk is elevated after consecutive misses. Property-sale execution has delivered about $103.2 million in net proceeds from the final two sales, and aggregate cash distributions have reached $16.41 per share; remaining wind-down steps and costs are still unresolved.
The multi-year view hinges on completing the trust transfer and dissolution and on whether liabilities and wind-down costs allow further distributions. Near term, a guidance cut or continued earnings weakness would add pressure, while lower rates could support the real estate sector; weakness among sector peers could remove that support.
For the next 1 to 3 years, ELME’s thesis depends more on orderly liquidation and remaining distributions than on operating growth, with weak results and unresolved wind-down steps keeping uncertainty elevated. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Achieve liquidation distribution of ~$3.2 per share |
| Guidance expects a liquidation distribution of about $3.2 per share by July 2026. |
| Intact |
| Distribution falls below $2.9 per share by July 2026 |
Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Sell remaining properties per liquidation plan | Elme Communities is executing its Plan of Sale and Liquidation, having sold 5 of 10 remaining properties by Q1 2026. | Recovered | Number of properties sold falls below 5 by Q1 2026 | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. Management contextStated in 1 of 1 supplied quarters. Management reported: “After completing these sales, the Company has now completed the disposition of all of its remaining properties.” “In accordance with the Plan of Sale and Liquidation, following delisting from the NYSE as described above, the Company intends to terminate its existence by voluntary dissolution, effective November 6, 2026.” Delivery assessment Nov 4, 2026 |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$-0.08 → $-0.08 · observed estimates
Unavailable → $0.27B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $-0.08 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | $-0.08 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | $-0.08 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | $-0.08 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | $-0.08 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-30 | $-0.08 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | $-0.08 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | $-0.08 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-04 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-05 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-06 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-07 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | $-0.08 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | $-0.08 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | $-0.08 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-12 | $-0.08 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | $-0.08 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-17 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-18 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-19 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-20 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-21 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-24 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-25 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-26 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-27 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-01 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-02 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-10 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | $-0.08 | $266,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 0 Buy / Strong Buy · 1 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.