Eastern Co. (The) (EML)

NASDAQIndustrialsManufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-09-04

$27.94+2.34%

Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change

QuarterlyIQ Insights · EML

Earnings

Next print, the company's guidance track record, and the earnings events we've seen in the last few years.

Next-print lean

Leans beat

Quarter ending 2026-10-04

Likelihood the company beats analyst consensus on its next print. Read from its own beat history plus how sector peers have been reporting. Not a price-direction call: a serial beater often has the beat already priced in.

Track record

6 of 12

Prints it beat consensus, recent quarters.

Indicative P(beat)

75%

Indicative, not a guarantee. Base rate ~71%.

Peers beating

82% of 17

Industry peers that beat since this name last reported.

Standing guide

New

Management's most recent EPS guidance action.

Why: peers & math

Peer prints since last report

TTC +2.3%
KMT +25%
TKR +12.3%
HLMN 0%
RBC +15.6%
LECO +4.3%
SWK +25%
SNA +1.2%

How the lean is derived

expected = 0.35*own_median(8.7) + peer(0.2*9.0) + term(0.0) → 4.85% (capped ±15.0)

Confidence highas of 2026-09-06

Next-print risk

Watch

Quarter ending 2026-10-04

Calibrated likelihood the company misses analyst consensus on its next print, read from its own miss history plus its industry base rate. A fundamental tilt, not a price call — and a quiet watch-flag, not an alarm.

Worth watching into the next print: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.

P(next-Q miss)

48%

Calibrated. Base rate ~24%.

Own miss streak

Consecutive quarters it missed, most recent run.

Industry base

20%

How often this industry misses, baseline.

Peers missing

13% of 8

Industry peers that missed in the recent window.

Confidence highas of 2026-09-04

Next earnings

—

Earnings-day expected move

—

Average absolute move on past earnings days.

Realized vol (30d)

30.3%

Annualized: recent baseline volatility.

Guidance track record

Met or beat

100%

Of the last 2 guided quarters.

Avg surprise

+28.2%

Actual vs. guided EPS, signed.

Post-call reaction

weak

-2.5%

Excess return vs. sector ETF, day after print.

Provisional scorecard: fewer than 4 guided quarters in the corpus.

Earnings events

Earnings prints and pre-announcements detected in the SEC filing stream.

15 shown

2026-08-11earnings preannouncement
EML — earnings release — Results of Operations and Financial Condition
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On August 11, 2026, The Eastern Company issued a press release announcing its second quarter earnings for 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1.
—
2026-05-12earnings preannouncement
EML — earnings release — Results of Operations and Financial Condition Press Release dated May 12, 202…

Coming next

Quarterly EPS and revenue actuals vs. consensus across the last eight quarters (including beat/miss size and the forward consensus heading into the next print) are on the way.

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.