Eastern Co. (The) (EML)
NASDAQIndustrialsManufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$27.94+2.34%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsManufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EML
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -48.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 8 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
EML — earnings miss
Dated 2026-03-03
Results of Operations and Financial Condition Press Release dated March 3, 2026 announcing the fourth quarter and full year earnings for 2025 is attached hereto.
Why it matters: A rise in adjusted EBITDA shows better profits and efficiency. It shows the company controls costs.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA goes above $3.4 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA drops below $3.0 million. This shows profits are getting worse.
Why it matters: Good integration can make things work better. It can also increase revenue. This shows the acquisition plan is working.
Supportive ifManagement says integration is going well. They report revenue from Sungear and Crown.
Worry ifProblems with integration can cause delays. They may also lead to lower revenue than expected.
Why it matters: Better cash flow means the company is doing well. It helps with future investments.
Supportive ifCash from operations is over $3.5 million next quarter.
Worry ifCash from operations is below $3.5 million.
Why it matters: If the industrial sector's revenue growth picks up, it could benefit Eastern Co. and its peers. This may indicate a broader market recovery.
Watch forRevenue growth in the industrial sector reported above 5% year over year.
Also watch forRevenue growth in the industrial sector reported below 5% year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$144 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $331 loss on $10,000 · 3.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,317 loss on $10,000 · 33.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A backlog increase would show strong demand and support future revenue growth. It indicates the company's ability to secure new orders.
Supportive ifBacklog growth is above 45% year-over-year in the next quarters.
Worry ifBacklog growth is below 30% year-over-year. This shows demand is weakening.
Why it matters: More cash flow means better efficiency and stronger financial health.
Supportive ifCash from operations is over $8 million.
Worry ifCash from operations is below $8 million.
Why it matters: A good merger can increase revenue. It helps the company grow in the long run.
Supportive ifSungear and Crown report combined revenue growth exceeding $22.8 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifSungear and Crown may report less money or problems after the merger.
Why it matters: Keeping EPS guidance shows confidence in earnings. It shows management can control costs and revenues.
Supportive ifEPS guidance remains at $0.11 in the next earnings report.
Worry ifEPS guidance is below $0.11. This shows possible earnings weakness.