Eversource Energy (ES)
NYSEUtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-07-08
$73.80-1.27%
Close 2026-07-08 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $73.80. As of 2026-07-09. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $74 ES trades at 1.7× p/b, below its 2.3× p/b peer median, but our blended $73 fair value is roughly in line with the price. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $72–$76. Not investment advice.
$72.00 – $76.00 (median $73.50) · 4 analysts · as of 2026-07-02
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $73.50 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $8.42 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $19.16 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $70.27 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $112.79 | 24.3 | 4.65 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $101.10 | 2.3 | 43.90 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $48.26 | 76.8 | 0.63 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $121.28 | 24.3 | 5.00 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $112.37 | 3.0 | 37.00 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $47.99 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $71.44 | 14.3 | 5.00 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $121.85 | 24.3 | 5.02 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $108.15 | 24.3 | 4.46 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $106.12 | 2.3 | 46.08 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $116.29 | 24.3 | 4.79 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $113.25 | 3.0 | 37.29 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $68.50 | 14.3 | 4.79 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $105.17 | 24.3 | 4.34 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $109.60 | 2.3 | 47.59 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $113.08 | 24.3 | 4.66 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $113.82 | 3.0 | 37.48 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $66.61 | 14.3 | 4.66 | Analyst | high |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.