ES
Eversource EnergyNYSEUtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, ES has a composite score of 15.5 and a signal label of "mild favorable." The company momentum score increased by 16.0 points, rising from -20.1 to -4.1. Key drivers include macroeconomic factors related to rates, labor, inflation, and growth. This analysis is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.31
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $0.90 → $0.88 (-2.7% / 30d). 1 raised, 5 cut, 10 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 1 downgrade / 30d, 2 maintained. 38% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 7.4% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
No recent events recorded.
Stated priorities
2 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Maintain EPS guidance for 2026growthbehind0% progress
5/6: “The Company revised its earnings guidance for 2026 non-GAAP recurring earnings to between $4.57 per share and $4.72 per share.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. EPS guidance for 2026 was revised to $4.57-$4.72, down from an earlier range of $4.80-$4.95. This reflects a downward adjustment in expectations, indicating limited progress in achieving higher earnings targets.
- 2.Reaffirm 2025 EPS guidancegrowthbehind0% progressprovisional
11/24: “We reaffirm our 2025 full-year non-GAAP recurring earnings guidance of between $4.72 per share and $4.80 per share.”
Why this status
Stated in 4 of last 4 quarters. The 2025 EPS guidance has been consistently reaffirmed at $4.72-$4.80, showing a stable outlook. However, the guidance has been narrowed from an earlier range of $4.67-$4.82, indicating a more cautious stance.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 20%; 252d 25%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −15%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLU) — 0.05 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 59/100, drawdown 70/100, beta 5/100, earnings vol —.
via XLU
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- score change · company_momentum_scoreseverity 27
Company momentum rose by 16.0 points (from -20.1 to -4.1).
As of 2026-05-08, the company momentum score for ES rose by 16.0 points, changing from -20.1 to -4.1. The signal label transitioned to "mild_favorable." The overall macro environment remains provisional, with several unfavorable scenarios noted, including potential reversals in rates and labor states.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Maintain EPS guidance for 2026
GrowthNew since 2026-05-06Eversource Energy aims to maintain its EPS guidance for 2026 between $4.57 and $4.72.
BehindStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. EPS guidance for 2026 was revised to $4.57-$4.72, down from an earlier range of $4.80-$4.95. This reflects a downward adjustment in expectations, indicating limited progress in achieving higher earnings targets.
0%CEO/CFO:“The Company revised its earnings guidance for 2026 non-GAAP recurring earnings to between $4.57 per share and $4.72 per share.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-06Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-06Show history (3)
- 2026-Q2Multiple sources
“The Company revised its earnings guidance for 2026 non-GAAP recurring earnings to between $4.57 per share and $4.72 per share.”
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“The Company's revised 2026 non-GAAP earnings guidance is now expected to be in the range of $4.57 per share and $4.72 per share.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Eversource Energy's annual projection for 2026 earnings is between $4.80 per share and $4.95 per share.”
- #2
Reaffirm 2025 EPS guidance
GrowthEversource Energy reaffirms its 2025 EPS guidance between $4.72 and $4.80.
BehindStated in 4 of last 4 quarters. The 2025 EPS guidance has been consistently reaffirmed at $4.72-$4.80, showing a stable outlook. However, the guidance has been narrowed from an earlier range of $4.67-$4.82, indicating a more cautious stance.
2025 EPS guidance reaffirmed at $4.72-$4.800%CEO/CFO:“We reaffirm our 2025 full-year non-GAAP recurring earnings guidance of between $4.72 per share and $4.80 per share.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2025-11-24Stated 4 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2025-11-24provisionalShow history (4)
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“We reaffirm our 2025 full-year non-GAAP recurring earnings guidance of between $4.72 per share and $4.80 per share.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“Eversource also announced on October 14, 2025, that it narrowed its earnings guidance for full year non-GAAP recurring earnings for 2025 to between $4.72 per share and $4.80 per share.”
- 2025-Q2Multiple sources
“The company reaffirms its 2025 earnings projection of between $4.67 per share and $4.82 per share.”
- 2025-Q1Multiple sources
“the company today reaffirmed its earnings projection of between $4.67 per share and $4.82 per share for fiscal year 2025.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
33 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
ES Eversource Energy | +16 | inexpensive | moderate |
NEE NextEra Energy | +19 | full | moderate |
CEG Constellation Energy | +16 | full | elevated |
SO Southern Company | +19 | fair | moderate |
DUK Duke Energy | +28 | inexpensive | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently LOWERED as of 2026-05-06)+16 pts
- If utilities sector trend rises from -0.04 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
- If utilities sector trend falls from -0.04 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If labor state reverses from -0.31 (negative) to +0.31 (positive)-3.7 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-063d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Conditions. On May 6, 2026, Eversource Energy (the “Company”) issued a news release announcing its unaudited results of operations for the three months ended March 31, 2026, and related financial information for certain of its subsidiaries as of and for the same period. A copy of the news release and related unaudited financial reports are attached as Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2 and are incorporated herein by reference thereto. The information contained in this…
earnings preannouncement—score 62
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.