FUTU HOLDINGS LTD (FUTU)
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$121.75-0.21%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FUTU
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -30.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 27 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
Why it matters: Earnings results will show how well FUTU is doing. This is important as the sector grows.
Watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth above 15% year over year.
Also watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth below 15% year over year.
Why it matters: If revenue growth falls below 15%, it signals a slowdown in the financial sector. This could impact FUTU's performance.
Worry ifFUTU reports revenue growth below 15% in its next earnings call.
Less concerning ifFUTU maintains revenue growth above 15% in its next earnings call.
Why it matters: GDP growth affects market conditions. A strong estimate could boost investor confidence in FUTU.
Supportive ifGDP growth estimate is revised upward from the previous quarter.
Worry ifGDP growth estimate is revised downward from the previous quarter.
Why it matters: A drop below this level would signal a slowdown in the sector's growth phase. This could impact investor confidence in FUTU.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth reported below 13% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue growth remains at or above 13% year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$183 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $572 loss on $10,000 · 5.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,419 loss on $10,000 · 54.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: High unemployment claims can show economic problems. This can hurt FUTU's business.
Worry ifUnemployment claims are much higher than last week's numbers.
Less concerning ifUnemployment claims go down or stay the same from last week.
Why it matters: A drop below the median would signal a slowdown in the financial sector. This could hurt FUTU's growth outlook.
Worry ifRevenue growth falls below the median of 13% year over year.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth stays at or above the median of 13% year over year.
Why it matters: The PPI can change interest rates and how much people spend. This affects FUTU's business.
Watch forPPI increases more than 0.5% month over month.
Also watch forPPI increases less than 0.1% month over month.
Why it matters: The CPI affects inflation and monetary policy. This can change FUTU's market.
Watch forCPI rises more than 0.4% month over month.
Also watch forCPI rises less than 0.2% month over month.