General Motors (GM)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-09-04
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GM
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $88 GM trades at 7.0× p/e, below its 15× p/e peer median. Our $130 fair value sits well above the price. We hold it with medium confidence: the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks and quality doesn't explain valuation multiples in this sub-industry, so the peer comparison is a weak guide. Analysts target $61–$130. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $100.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $257.26 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $11.15 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $140.70 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$61.00 – $130.00 (median $100.00) · 8 analysts · as of 2026-07-28
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 531% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly — years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $0.52/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $107.86 |
| 10.4 |
| 21.74 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $291.68 | 16.1 | 18.13 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $221.12 | 15.3 | 14.48 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $167.37 | 0.8 | 203.88 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $308.06 | 24.5 | 12.58 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $95.47 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $88.36 | 7.0 | 12.58 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $205.34 | 15.1 | 13.58 | Triangulated | high |