General Motors (GM)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-09-04
$87.76+0.62%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GM
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -32.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 34.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers
GM — director transition
Dated 2026-05-26
Director — Jonathan McNeill: Jonathan McNeill will retire from the Board upon the conclusion of the Annual Meeting.
Why it matters: Strong cash flow helps GM invest in growth and return money to shareholders.
Supportive ifQ3 automotive operating cash flow was more than $5.5 billion.
Worry ifAutomotive operating cash flow was less than $5.5 billion.
Why it matters: A confirmed dividend increase shows strong cash flow. It also shows a commitment to shareholders. This may attract more investors.
Supportive ifGM announces a dividend increase above $0.18 per share.
Worry ifGM maintains the dividend at $0.18 per share or lowers it.
Why it matters: Updates on EV expansion show GM is focused on future growth in the EV market.
Watch forGM shares new EV models or major production goals during the earnings call.
Also watch forGM fails to provide updates on EV expansion or delays key EV projects.
Why it matters: An increase in EBIT-adjusted guidance shows GM is financially strong and can grow.
Supportive ifGM raises its EBIT-adjusted guidance to more than $15.5 billion for 2026.
Worry ifGM keeps or lowers its EBIT-adjusted guidance to below $13.0 billion for 2026.
Why it matters: Higher cash flow shows good efficiency and helps with future investments.
Supportive ifAutomotive cash flow was above $19.4 billion for 2026.
Worry ifOperating cash flow falls below $15.4 billion.
Why it matters: An increase would show GM is committed to returning money to shareholders.
Supportive ifManagement announces a dividend increase to more than $0.18 per share for Q4.
Worry ifDividend remains at $0.18 per share or is cut.
Why it matters: More EV sales would help GM's long-term growth plan in electric vehicles.
Supportive ifEV sales growth reported above 15% year-over-year in Q3.
Worry ifEV sales growth was below 5% compared to last year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$116 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $305 loss on $10,000 · 3.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,600 loss on $10,000 · 16.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.