Expectations trend
FY2028 · fiscal year ending 2028-03-31 · fmp
GSI Technology Inc (GSIT)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$3.64-4.21%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
1.80 → 1.80 EPS · FY ending Mar 31, 2028 · 1 analyst
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 1 to 1; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for GSIT yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Gross margin near 55% next quarter | Gross margin is expected near 55%. | Broken | Gross margin falls below 54% next quarter | Gross margin: 53.37% FY2027-Q1; GAAP. Published target: 54% to 56%. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Aug 11, 202653.374525 percent · calculatedLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2028 · fiscal year ending 2028-03-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 5, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a speculative growth business, not a proven compounder, because it is loss-making and carries high risk. The long-term thesis is in a watch state, and the signal recently shifted from mixed to cautious.
GSIT is tagged as cheap versus peers, but the valuation evidence also shows a substantial expectations gap and medium model confidence. The snapshot labels pricing as justified, with low fragility, so the apparent peer discount does not by itself show that the market is overlooking the operating risks.
Near term, results remain weak and revenue was stable at about $6.3 million from the first to the second quarter of 2026. Gemini-II commercialization shows mixed progress, while the Plato processor remains on schedule for a March 2027 tape-out, with higher research and development spending. Gross margin fell to 53.4%, below management’s 54% to 56% goal, and recent quarterly misses keep execution risk elevated.
Over the next few quarters, the thesis hinges on whether Gemini-II and proof-of-concept work lead to stronger commercial progress, while Plato stays on schedule. A guidance cut would be a negative signal; easing interest rates and stabilization among major technology companies are possible sector tailwinds, but do not resolve GSIT’s company-specific execution risks.
For a 1 to 3 year view, GSIT has meaningful product-development progress but weak financial performance, ongoing losses, and high uncertainty. The thesis depends on execution improving without further margin or guidance deterioration. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A supporting condition in GSI Technology Inc's published investment case. The stated target is Free cash flow yield >= 0%. |
| Broken |
| Free cash flow yield remains negative beyond next 4 quarters |
Valuation inputs unavailable A completed valuation measurement is required. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Revenue within $5.9M to $6.7M range next quarter | Recent revenue delivery within guidance shows some stability. | Broken | Revenue falls below $5.9M or exceeds $6.7M outside guidance next quarter | Revenue: $6.312M FY2027-Q1; GAAP. Published target: >= $5.9M and <= $6.7M. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Aug 11, 20266,312,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$-0.27 → $1.80 · observed estimates
$0.04B → $0.15B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-25 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-26 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-27 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-28 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-29 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-30 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-31 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-03 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-04 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-05 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-06 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-07 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-09 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-10 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-12 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-13 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-14 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-17 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-18 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-19 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-20 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-21 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-24 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-25 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-26 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-27 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-01 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-02 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-10 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $-0.27 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | $1.80 | $152,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 1 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 1 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.