GSI Technology Inc (GSIT)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-05
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GSIT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -65.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 67.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 50 industry peers
GSIT — officer change
Dated 2026-05-28
The filing describes a new compensation plan for executive officers and key employees.
Why it matters: A completed deployment would show progress beyond lab tests. A delay would weaken the evidence for Gemini-II use in the field.
Supportive ifGSI reports that Smart City Phase I deployment is complete by November 2026.
Worry ifGSI reports that the Phase I deployment missed its November 2026 target or is still incomplete.
Why it matters: Management guided to 53% to 55%, while the latest quarter's margin was 53.4%. A lower result would miss the stated range.
Worry ifAt the November 5 earnings report, gross margin is below 53%, the low end of Q2 guidance.
Less concerning ifQ2 gross margin is at least 53% and within or above the guided 53% to 55% range.
Why it matters: Plato is a major product effort, and its design work is raising costs. A tape-out on time would meet the stated milestone.
Supportive ifGSI confirms Plato taped out by March 2027.
Worry ifGSI reports that Plato tape-out has slipped beyond March 2027.
Why it matters: Revenue was flat year over year at $6.3 million. A result below guidance would add pressure to a loss-making business.
Worry ifAt the November 5 earnings report, net revenue is below $5.7 million, the low end of Q2 guidance.
Less concerning ifQ2 net revenue is at least $5.7 million and within or above the $5.7 million to $6.5 million range.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$280 on $10,000 · ±2.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,065 loss on $10,000 · 10.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,389 loss on $10,000 · 73.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The SDK is meant to speed up software work and help GSI reach more partners. Its release is a near-term test of that plan.
Supportive ifGSI releases the AI-assisted SDK and shows it is ready for customer or partner use.
Worry ifGSI says the SDK release has slipped beyond September or reports it is not ready for use.