HOOD
Robinhood MarketsNASDAQFinancialsCapital MarketsSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, HOOD has a composite score of -9.2, indicating a mixed signal. The score is influenced by a high market risk score of 79.6 and a low momentum score of -30.0. The analysis is provisional, with key drivers including macroeconomic factors such as rates, growth, labor, and inflation.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share0.75
- Slope (norm)-0.23
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $0.56 → $0.40 (-28.8% / 30d). 0 raised, 11 cut, 16 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 14 maintained. 70% of analysts rate Buy.
8 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 26.8% above current price.
0 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
No recent events recorded.
Stated priorities
2 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Invest in Trump Accounts UIproductmixed0% progress
4/28: “We now anticipate investing an additional $100 million to build and support the user interface for Trump Accounts.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Management has committed to investing an additional $100 million in the Trump Accounts UI. This is a new initiative, and financials do not yet reflect the impact of this investment. The trajectory is yet to be determined as this is a recent commitment.
- 2.Manage Operating Expensescostbehind0% progress
4/28: “Our updated outlook for 2026 Adjusted Operating Expenses and SBC is $2.7 billion to $2.825 billion.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Operating income declined from $634M in 2025-Q3 to -$174M in 2025-Q4, indicating challenges in managing expenses. The updated guidance for 2026 suggests a focus on controlling costs, but financial performance shows limited progress so far.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 74%; 252d 67%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −57%. Bad day move −7%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLF) — 1.82 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 0/100, drawdown 0/100, beta 18/100, earnings vol —.
via XLF
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Invest in Trump Accounts UI
ProductNew since 2026-05-04Allocate additional resources to develop and support the user interface for Trump Accounts.
Watch →MixedNewly stated in 2026-Q1. Management has committed to investing an additional $100 million in the Trump Accounts UI. This is a new initiative, and financials do not yet reflect the impact of this investment. The trajectory is yet to be determined as this is a recent commitment.
0%CEO/CFO:“We now anticipate investing an additional $100 million to build and support the user interface for Trump Accounts.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-28Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (1)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“We now anticipate investing an additional $100 million to build and support the user interface for Trump Accounts.”
- #2
Manage Operating Expenses
CostNew since 2026-05-04Focus on controlling and managing operating expenses to improve financial performance.
BehindStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Operating income declined from $634M in 2025-Q3 to -$174M in 2025-Q4, indicating challenges in managing expenses. The updated guidance for 2026 suggests a focus on controlling costs, but financial performance shows limited progress so far.
Operating income declined from $634M in 2025-Q3 to -$174M in 2025-Q40%CEO/CFO:“Our updated outlook for 2026 Adjusted Operating Expenses and SBC is $2.7 billion to $2.825 billion.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-28Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Our updated outlook for 2026 Adjusted Operating Expenses and SBC is $2.7 billion to $2.825 billion.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Our outlook for 2026 Adjusted Operating Expenses and SBC is $2.6 billion to $2.725 billion.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
44 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
HOOD Robinhood Markets | -9.2 | full | high |
BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway | +6.0 | — | moderate |
JPM JPMorgan Chase | -0.9 | full | low |
V Visa Inc. | +20 | — | low |
MA Mastercard | +15 | full | low |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)+6.6 pts
- If financials sector trend rises from +0.07 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-28)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-28)-8.0 pts
- If financials sector trend falls from +0.07 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-2811d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. Financial Results for the First Quarter of 2026 On April 28, 2026, Robinhood Markets, Inc. (the "Company" or “Robinhood”) issued a press release regarding its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. As previously announced, Robinhood will host an earnings video call on April 28, 2026 at 2:00 p.m. PT/5:00 p.m. ET. The information furnished with Item 2.02, incl…
earnings preannouncementnegativescore 61
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.