Herc Holdings, Inc. (HRI)
NYSEIndustrialsRental & Leasing ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$140.92+1.43%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsRental & Leasing ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HRI
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $141 HRI trades at 24× p/e, in line with its 22× p/e peer median, and our $151 fair value agrees. We hold it with medium confidence: our number sits below the analyst range. Analysts target $160–$218. Note: our $151 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($160–$218). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $185.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $445.75 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $34.78 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $86.76 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$160.00 – $218.00 (median $185.00) · 3 analysts · as of 2026-08-17
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $131.77 |
| 22.2 |
| 5.93 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $153.49 | 1.1 | 144.96 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $199.28 | 33.6 | 5.93 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $55.93 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $136.85 | 22.2 | 6.16 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $195.08 | 22.2 | 8.78 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $138.17 | 1.1 | 130.49 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $295.03 | 33.6 | 8.78 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $154.93 | 22.2 | 6.97 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $109.73 | 1.1 | 103.63 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $234.30 | 33.6 | 6.97 | Analyst | medium |