Henry Schein (HSIC)
NASDAQHealth CareMedical DistributionSnapshot 2026-07-07
$86.84+0.25%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Health Care is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 6% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks among the strongest in its industry on quality — around the top 18%.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskMostly healthy — no soft spokes
HSIC's growth relies on steady dental demand, which is expected to support its goal of achieving 3% to 5% sales growth in 2026. Revenue grew 6.3% year over year, and the latest earnings beat by 8.2% reinforces this positive outlook. Currently, HSIC trades at 17× P/E compared to a peer median of 26×, indicating that the price reflects less growth than forecasted. A specific risk is the potential for HSIC to cut guidance on the next call, which our model puts at a 16% probability of a miss. Peer multiples imply a price about 4% above where it trades, this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-07. HSIC is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 16 analysts currently covering HSIC (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 5 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for HSIC in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $86.84. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Health Care (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Advances: Achieve 3% to 5% sales growth in 2026
Steady dental demand supports sales growth objective.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-07. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $86.84
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $86.84.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Maintain mid-single digit EBITDA growth
Savings goal indicates potential for EBITDA growth.
Advances: Reaffirm EPS guidance for 2026
Reaffirming profit forecast strengthens EPS guidance.