H WORLD GROUP LTD (HTHT)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryTravel LodgingSnapshot 2026-09-04
$45.77-1.23%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryTravel LodgingSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HTHT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -86.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 6 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
Why it matters: More unemployment claims may show economic problems. This could hurt H World Group.
Worry ifWeekly unemployment claims are over 300,000 for two weeks in a row.
Less concerning ifWeekly unemployment claims are under 250,000.
Why it matters: Earnings results show how well the company is doing. They also hint at future plans.
Watch forThe earnings report shows revenue and profit that are better than expected.
Also watch forEarnings report shows worse than expected revenue and profit figures.
Why it matters: Better GDP growth may mean more consumer spending. This could help H World Group.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 GDP growth revised up to above 2% from the previous estimate.
Worry ifQ2 2026 GDP growth remains at or below 1%.
Why it matters: High unemployment claims could signal economic weakness. This may hurt consumer spending, impacting H World Group.
Worry ifUnemployment Insurance Weekly Claims report shows a big rise from last week.
Less concerning ifUnemployment claims go down or stay the same compared to last week.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$108 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $335 loss on $10,000 · 3.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,671 loss on $10,000 · 26.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth would signal a shift in the declining trend for the sector.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth reported above 0% year over year.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth reported below 0% year over year.
Why it matters: Higher consumer spending can boost revenue for H World Group and its peers.
Supportive ifPersonal income and spending rose by more than 0.5% from last month.
Worry ifPersonal income and outlays show a month-over-month decrease or flat growth.
Why it matters: This index affects inflation. It also impacts how much people spend. This matters for H World Group.
Watch forPPI shows a month-over-month increase above 0.3%.
Also watch forPPI shows a month-over-month decrease below 0.1%.
Why it matters: CPI affects how much money consumers have to spend. This impacts demand for H World Group's services.
Watch forCPI goes up month-over-month by more than 0.4%.
Also watch forCPI goes down month-over-month by less than 0.2%.
Why it matters: Retail sales data shows how people spend money. This affects H World Group's outlook.
Watch forRetail sales grow month-over-month by more than 0.5%.
Also watch forRetail sales decline month-over-month by more than 0.2%.