indie Semiconductor, Inc. (INDI)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$1.59+6.00%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · INDI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -82.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 44.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 127.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 41 industry peers
INDI — President transition
Dated 2026-06-22
President — Dr. Ichiro Aoki: Dr. Aoki is retiring from his roles as President and Director, but will continue in a Technical Advisor role.
Why it matters: The tech sector is still growing, but its trend is easing. A drop below its past midpoint could add pressure.
Worry ifThe sector data show revenue growth below its median.
Less concerning ifThe sector data show revenue growth at or above its median.
Why it matters: Wuxi was expected to provide about $30 million of Q3 revenue. A sale could change how much revenue stays with indie.
Watch forA filing or company release says the sale closed. Indie reports its effect on revenue and the business.
Also watch forThe sale is delayed or ended, or indie reports harm to its business from the sale process.
Why it matters: Indie still loses money. Smaller operating losses would show progress toward profit.
Supportive ifThe next report shows a smaller non-GAAP operating loss than Q2’s $8.9 million loss.
Worry ifThe next report shows a non-GAAP operating loss above $8.9 million.
Why it matters: The order links radar demand to two car makers. Shipments would show that the order is moving into production.
Supportive ifIndie reports shipments or revenue tied to the $25 million radar order from its Tier 1 partner.
Worry ifThe company says the order was cut, delayed, or canceled. Later updates report no progress on shipments.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$358 on $10,000 · ±3.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $784 loss on $10,000 · 7.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,191 loss on $10,000 · 71.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Management set a $67 million to $73 million Q3 range. The result tests its 30% growth goal.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue is at least $67 million, the low end of guidance, and year-over-year growth is near 30%.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below $67 million or year-over-year growth is well below the 30% goal.