IR
Ingersoll RandNYSEIndustrialsSpecialty Industrial MachinerySnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, IR has a composite score of 8.9, indicating a mixed signal. The score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 74.1 and a moderate risk label. Key drivers include macroeconomic factors such as growth, labor, rates, and inflation. The current guidance is reaffirmed, but there are unfavorable scenarios that could impact the score, including potential guidance cuts and sector trends weakening.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)0.33
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Joint read: strong + robust historically delivered 80%+ NI-grew rate over T+1y in IT 2024–26 (small N).
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $0.86 → $0.83 (-4.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 13 cut, 15 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 5 maintained. 50% of analysts rate Buy.
3 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 19.4% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
6 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Maintain full-year 2026 revenue growth guidancegrowthbehind0% progress
4/28: “Ingersoll Rand is maintaining its full-year 2026 guidance.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue grew from $1.67B in 2024-Q1 to $1.72B in 2025-Q4, indicating progress towards the 2026 growth target. The trajectory shows limited progress, with management maintaining guidance.
- 2.Achieve adjusted EPS of $3.45 to $3.57 for 2026growthbehind0% progress
2/12: “2026 Adjusted EPS expected to be in a range of $3.45 to $3.57.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. EPS was 0.61 in 2025-Q3, indicating a need for significant improvement to meet the 2026 target. The trajectory shows limited progress towards the EPS goal.
- 3.Achieve adjusted EBITDA of $2,130 to $2,190 million for 2026growthbehind0% progress
2/12: “Adjusted EBITDA of $2,130 to $2,190 million expected for 2026.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. The financials do not provide specific EBITDA figures for comparison, making it difficult to assess progress. The trajectory remains unclear without additional data.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 44%; 252d 33%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −23%. Bad day move −3%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLI) — 1.59 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 45/100, drawdown 53/100, beta 41/100, earnings vol —.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Maintain full-year 2026 revenue growth guidance
GrowthIngersoll Rand aims to maintain its full-year 2026 revenue growth guidance of 2.5% to 4.5%.
BehindStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue grew from $1.67B in 2024-Q1 to $1.72B in 2025-Q4, indicating progress towards the 2026 growth target. The trajectory shows limited progress, with management maintaining guidance.
0%CEO/CFO:“Ingersoll Rand is maintaining its full-year 2026 guidance.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-28Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-28Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Expect full-year 2026 revenue growth of 2.5% to 4.5%”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Ingersoll Rand is maintaining its full-year 2026 guidance.”
- #2
Achieve adjusted EPS of $3.45 to $3.57 for 2026
GrowthIngersoll Rand targets an adjusted EPS range of $3.45 to $3.57 for the fiscal year 2026.
BehindStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. EPS was 0.61 in 2025-Q3, indicating a need for significant improvement to meet the 2026 target. The trajectory shows limited progress towards the EPS goal.
0%CEO/CFO:“2026 Adjusted EPS expected to be in a range of $3.45 to $3.57.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-12Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-12Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“2026 Adjusted EPS expected to be in a range of $3.45 to $3.57.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Adjusted EPS $3.45 to $3.57”
- #3
Achieve adjusted EBITDA of $2,130 to $2,190 million for 2026
GrowthIngersoll Rand aims for an adjusted EBITDA range of $2,130 to $2,190 million for 2026.
BehindNewly stated in 2026-Q1. The financials do not provide specific EBITDA figures for comparison, making it difficult to assess progress. The trajectory remains unclear without additional data.
0%CEO/CFO:“Adjusted EBITDA of $2,130 to $2,190 million expected for 2026.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-12Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-12Show history (1)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Adjusted EBITDA of $2,130 to $2,190 million expected for 2026.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
63 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
IR Ingersoll Rand | +8.9 | fair | moderate |
CAT Caterpillar Inc. | +13 | expensive | moderate |
GE GE Aerospace | +11 | expensive | moderate |
GEV GE Vernova | +10 | full | moderate |
RTX RTX Corporation | +20 | fair | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If industrials sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently REAFFIRMED as of 2026-04-28)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently REAFFIRMED as of 2026-04-28)-8.0 pts
- If industrials sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-2810d agoItem 2.02
of Form 8-K and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any of Ingersoll Rand’s filings with the SEC under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 52 - 2026-02-122mo agoItem 2.02
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION On February 12, 2026, Ingersoll Rand, Inc. (“Ingersoll Rand”) issued a press release announcing financial results for the full year and quarter ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein. The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including exhibits, is being furnished to the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) pursuant to
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 9 - 2025-12-174mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On December 17, 2025, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Ingersoll Rand Inc. (the “Company”), upon the recommendation of its Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee, increased the size of the Board to ten directors and appointed Jerome Guillen as a director of the Board, effective January 1, 2026, to serve until the Company’s 2026 Annual…
executive changeneutralscore 2 - 2025-06-1710mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On June 12, 2025, the Board of Directors of Ingersoll Rand Inc. (the “Company”) expanded the role of Mr. Michael Weatherred, the Company’s Senior Vice President, IR Execution Excellence (IRX), Business and Commercial Excellence, to include the leadership of the Company’s Precision & Science Technologies (“PST”) segment. Mr. Weatherred’s new title i…
executive changeneutralscore 0
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.