Jefferies (JEF)
NYSEFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$55.23+1.79%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · JEF
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $55 JEF trades at 15× p/e, in line with its 12× p/e peer median — but our blended $68 fair value sits above the price. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $50–$87. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $65.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $539.26 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $19.18 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $62.89 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$50.00 – $87.00 (median $65.00) · 5 analysts · as of 2026-06-25
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $63.69 |
| 1.3 |
| 47.51 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $88.14 | 11.1 | 7.97 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $49.79 | 11.2 | 4.47 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $152.68 | 2.9 | 53.06 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $105.26 | 28.4 | 3.70 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $41.97 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $46.17 | 12.4 | 3.72 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $69.18 | 1.3 | 51.61 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $37.56 | 11.2 | 3.37 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $86.91 | 2.9 | 30.20 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $95.83 | 28.4 | 3.37 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $73.10 | 1.3 | 54.53 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $25.80 | 11.2 | 2.31 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $59.70 | 2.9 | 20.74 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $65.82 | 28.4 | 2.31 | Analyst | medium |