JERSEY MIKE'S SUBS INC (JMKE)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$21.01+6.54%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · JMKE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -6.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 10 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
JMKE — M&A activity — Changes in Control of Registrant
Dated 2026-09-22
Changes in Control of Registrant. (b) Information required by Item 403(c) of Regulation S-K regarding arrangements known to the registrant which may at a subsequent date result in a change of control. The information set forth under
Why it matters: Management set a floor of 2.5% for full-year same-store sales growth. Falling short would weaken the sales and customer-frequency story.
Worry ifFiscal 2026 same-store sales growth is below 2.5%.
Less concerning ifFiscal 2026 same-store sales growth is 2.5% or higher.
Why it matters: Store growth drives sales across the system. The company opened 80 stores in Q3 and set a full-year floor of 8%.
Worry ifFiscal 2026 net unit growth comes in below 8%.
Less concerning ifFiscal 2026 net unit growth reaches or exceeds 8%.
Why it matters: A September filing mentions arrangements that may lead to a change of control. New terms could clarify who may gain control and when.
Watch forA company filing names a party, terms, or date for a possible change of control.
Also watch forA company filing says no change-of-control deal remains in effect, or gives a clear end date with no deal.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$205 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $494 loss on $10,000 · 4.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,425 loss on $10,000 · 34.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.