Gladstone Land Corp. (LAND)
NASDAQReal EstateReit - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
$9.83+0.72%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQReal EstateReit - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LAND
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 9.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -9.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 18.4 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 14 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
LAND — director transition
Dated 2026-06-02
Director — George 'Chip' Stelljes, III: Mr. Stelljes was elected to the Board and appointed to several committees.
Why it matters: Rising pistachio prices can boost revenue from participation rents. It indicates market strength for key crops.
Supportive ifPistachio prices rise above $2.75 per pound in market updates.
Worry ifPistachio prices fall below $2.00 per pound in market updates.
Why it matters: If the sector starts growing again, it could boost Gladstone's performance. It shows a positive trend in real estate.
Watch forSector revenue growth speeds up above 4% from last year.
Also watch forSector revenue growth stays below 4% year over year.
Why it matters: Stable revenue growth helps investors feel confident. It shows the company runs well.
Supportive ifQ4 revenue growth stays the same or gets better compared to Q3.
Worry ifQ4 revenue growth declines compared to Q3.
Why it matters: Growth in participation rents shows strong crop pricing and demand. This is key for earnings.
Supportive ifParticipation rent revenue in Q3 is over $250,000. This shows strong crop pricing.
Worry ifParticipation rent revenue in Q3 is under $150,000. This suggests weak crop pricing.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$104 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $273 loss on $10,000 · 2.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,461 loss on $10,000 · 34.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Comparing Q2 revenue to Q1 will show if revenue growth is stable or declining.
Watch forQ2 revenue exceeds Q1 revenue of $16.6 million.
Also watch forQ2 revenue falls below Q1 revenue of $16.6 million.
Why it matters: Pistachio prices affect revenue from participation rents. Strong prices lead to higher earnings.
Supportive ifPistachio market prices increase by over 10% year over year.
Worry ifPistachio market prices decline by more than 5% year over year.
Why it matters: This revenue target is important for yearly earnings. It shows management wants to increase revenue.
Supportive ifQ4 revenue reaches or exceeds $16.9 million.
Worry ifQ4 revenue falls below $16.9 million.
Why it matters: News on the buyback program shows management's trust in the stock. It may help share prices.
Supportive ifThey announced repurchases of at least $10 million by year-end.
Worry ifNo updates or delays in the repurchase program by year-end.
Why it matters: A significant portion of 2026 revenue is expected in Q4. This will show if management's strategy is effective.
Supportive ifQ4 revenue from participation rents is over $10 million. This shows strong crop performance.
Worry ifQ4 revenue from participation rents is under $5 million. This suggests poor crop results.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow shows the company can sustain operations despite losses. This is key for long-term viability.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations in Q3 is over $15 million. This shows strong performance.
Worry ifCash flow from operations in Q3 is under $10 million. This suggests operational challenges.