LANDBRIDGE CO LLC (LB)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$86.53+0.51%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LB
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 61.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 25.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 36.6 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 37 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
LB — earnings miss
Dated 2026-05-06
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 6, 2026, LandBridge Company LLC (NYSE: LB; NYSE TX: LB) (the “Company”) announced its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 incorporated herein by reference, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as…
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth shows LandBridge is well managed. There is good demand for its services.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth exceeds 16% year-over-year.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth is below 16% year-over-year.
Why it matters: More cash flow from operations helps financial health and future investments.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations increases by over 5% from last quarter.
Worry ifCash flow from operations falls or grows less than 1% from last quarter.
Why it matters: If revenue growth improves, it signals a shift from the mature phase. This could support a more positive outlook for Landbridge.
Supportive ifRevenue growth re-enters above 2% year over year.
Worry ifRevenue growth stays below 2% year over year.
Why it matters: Growth in operating income shows the company is controlling costs well. This shows strong finances.
Supportive ifOperating income goes above $29.18 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifOperating income drops or stays under $29.18 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$219 on $10,000 · ±2.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $579 loss on $10,000 · 5.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,825 loss on $10,000 · 48.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Surface use royalties are a major revenue source. Growth indicates strong commercial activity.
Supportive ifSurface use royalties for Q3 2026 grow year-over-year by at least 10%.
Worry ifSurface use royalties decline or grow less than 10% year-over-year.
Why it matters: Growing cash flow from operations supports free cash flow and overall financial health.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations for Q3 2026 exceeds $41.4 million.
Worry ifCash flow from operations falls below $41.4 million.
Why it matters: This acquisition helps LandBridge grow and expand its reach.
Supportive ifThe acquisition of the 560 acres closes as planned in Q3 2026.
Worry ifThe purchase may be delayed or fail due to rules or other problems.