LANDBRIDGE CO LLC (LB)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-11-04
$69.26-12.31%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LB
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 46.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 34.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 12.5 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 16 industry peers
LB — debt issuance
Dated 2026-10-01
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On October 1, 2026, DBR Land Holdings LLC (the “Issuer”), a subsidiary of LandBridge Company LLC (the “Company”), completed the previously announced private placement (the “Offering”) of an additional $125,000,000 aggregate principal amount of 6.250% Senior Notes due 2030 (the “New Notes”). The Offering was upsized from an initial offering size of $100,000,000 aggregate principal amount of the New Notes. The Company intends to use the net proceeds f…
Why it matters: Surface use revenue drove most of Q2's sequential revenue gain. A drop would weaken the recent growth trend.
Watch forQuarterly surface use royalties and revenue exceed Q2's $52.2 million.
Also watch forQuarterly surface use royalties and revenue fall below Q1's $37.0 million.
Why it matters: The November 4 report is the next check on LandBridge's full-year target. Q3 results will show how much room remains to reach it.
Watch forQ3 Adjusted EBITDA is at least $52.5 million, one quarter of the $210 million low end.
Also watch forQ3 Adjusted EBITDA is under $52.5 million. The company cuts its $210 million to $230 million target.
Why it matters: The deal adds 560 acres and includes a long-term surface use agreement. Closing would confirm the planned addition to LandBridge's land base.
Supportive ifA company release or filing confirms the 560-acre deal closed and the surface use agreement took effect.
Worry ifA company release or filing says the deal was canceled or did not close.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$143 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $579 loss on $10,000 · 5.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,825 loss on $10,000 · 48.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.