LII
Lennox InternationalNYSEIndustrialsBuilding Products & EquipmentSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, LII has a composite score of 14.3, categorized as "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 76.0 and reflects various factors, including a macro score of 30.0 and a sector score of 16.7. The analysis is provisional, indicating that the scores and assessments may change as new information becomes available.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)0.03
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $7.68 → $7.59 (-1.2% / 30d). 7 raised, 10 cut, 19 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 3 maintained. 33% of analysts rate Buy.
5 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 12.1% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
3 material events in the last 24 months — top 3 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Achieve 8% revenue growth in 2026growthbehind0% progress
4/29: “For full year 2026, we are updating revenue growth guidance to approximately 8%, including 4% benefit from completed acquisitions.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue increased 6% to $1.1 billion in 2026-Q1, driven by acquisitions. The trajectory shows progress towards the 8% target, but further growth is needed to meet the full-year goal.
- 2.Maintain EPS guidance for 2026growthbehind0% progress
4/29: “Earnings per share is still expected to be within the range of $23.50 to $25.00.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. GAAP diluted EPS was $3.35 in 2026-Q1, down 8% from the prior year. The current EPS trajectory is behind the full-year guidance range, indicating challenges in maintaining the target.
- 3.Manage capital expenditures at $250 millioncapital allocationmixed35% progressprovisional
1/28: “Capital expenditures are projected to be approximately $250 million.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2025-Q4. Net capital expenditures were $55 million in 2026-Q1, indicating a controlled start towards the $250 million annual target. The company is on track to manage capex within the projected range.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 43%; 252d 35%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −34%. Bad day move −4%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLI) — 1.50 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 42/100, drawdown 33/100, beta 50/100, earnings vol —.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Achieve 8% revenue growth in 2026
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Targeting 8% revenue growth for 2026, with 4% from acquisitions.
BehindStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue increased 6% to $1.1 billion in 2026-Q1, driven by acquisitions. The trajectory shows progress towards the 8% target, but further growth is needed to meet the full-year goal.
0%CEO/CFO:“For full year 2026, we are updating revenue growth guidance to approximately 8%, including 4% benefit from completed acquisitions.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-29Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“For full year 2026, we are updating revenue growth guidance to approximately 8%.”
- 2025-Q4Press release
“For full year 2026, revenue is anticipated to increase by approximately 6% to 7%.”
- #2
Maintain EPS guidance for 2026
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04EPS for 2026 is expected to be within the range of $23.50 to $25.00.
BehindStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. GAAP diluted EPS was $3.35 in 2026-Q1, down 8% from the prior year. The current EPS trajectory is behind the full-year guidance range, indicating challenges in maintaining the target.
0%CEO/CFO:“Earnings per share is still expected to be within the range of $23.50 to $25.00.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-29Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“Maintaining full year EPS guidance range of $23.50 - $25.00.”
- 2025-Q4Press release
“Adjusted earnings per share is expected to be within the range of $23.50 to $25.00.”
- #3
Manage capital expenditures at $250 million
Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-04Capital expenditures for 2026 are projected to be approximately $250 million.
Behind →MixedNewly stated in 2025-Q4. Net capital expenditures were $55 million in 2026-Q1, indicating a controlled start towards the $250 million annual target. The company is on track to manage capex within the projected range.
35%CEO/CFO:“Capital expenditures are projected to be approximately $250 million.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-01-28Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisionalShow history (1)
- 2025-Q4Press release
“Capital expenditures are projected to be approximately $250 million.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
LII Lennox International | +14 | fair | moderate |
CAT Caterpillar Inc. | +13 | expensive | moderate |
GE GE Aerospace | +11 | expensive | moderate |
GEV GE Vernova | +10 | full | moderate |
RTX RTX Corporation | +20 | fair | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If industrials sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-29)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-29)-8.0 pts
- If industrials sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-299d agoItem 2.02
and Exhibit 99.1 of this report is being “furnished” with the Securities and Exchange Commission and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities under that section. Furthermore, such information shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, unless specifically identified as b…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 53 - 2026-01-283mo agoItem 2.02
and Exhibit 99.1 of this report is being “furnished” with the Securities and Exchange Commission and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities under that section. Furthermore, such information shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, unless specifically identified as b…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 6 - 2025-12-055mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On December 4, 2025, the Compensation and Human Resources Committee (the “Committee”) of the Board of Directors of Lennox International Inc. (the “Company”) approved a new form of Long-Term Incentive Award Agreement for U.S. Employees - Vice President and Above for use under the 2019 Equity and Incentive Compensation Plan (the “Award Agreement”). T…
executive changeneutralscore 2
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.