Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Comstock Inc (LODE)
AMEXMaterialsOther Precious MetalsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$1.72+15.44%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
AMEXMaterialsOther Precious MetalsSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
Matching fiscal periods, usable estimates and at least one analyst are required.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for LODE yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Capital spending of about $14 million for each of two facilities | Comstock plans $14 million capital spending for two big facilities. | Intact | capital spending falls below $14 million in FY26 | Capital expenditures: $696,218 FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >=14 USD_MILLIONS. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Jul 23, 2026696,218 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Next earnings date unavailable
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a speculative, execution-dependent business rather than an established earnings compounder. The long-term thesis is in a watch state: management has completed some planned steps, but recent financial performance is weak and momentum has deteriorated.
The evidence snapshot provides no valuation measures or specific market expectations, so whether LODE is cheap or expensive versus peers cannot be assessed. Recent performance has been weak, and the thesis already faces a meaningful expectations risk around the next earnings report.
Near term, results remain uncertain: LODE has missed across recent quarters, and the estimated miss probability is 43%. Management has completed a transaction for legacy mining assets, received cash, and commissioned its first industry-scale solar recycling facility, but expected facility revenue still needs to be demonstrated in operations.
Over the next few quarters, a guidance cut would deepen concerns, while evidence that the recycling facility is operating and producing expected revenue would support execution progress. The broader sector backdrop is a tailwind only if bellwethers continue to report strong results and raise guidance; misses or lower guidance could weaken that support.
For a 1-3 year view, LODE’s case depends on converting asset monetization, recycling operations, and real estate development into sustained business progress. Weak results, volatile management signals, and elevated risk leave the thesis uncertain. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| The company aims to start making money from transactions this year. |
| Intact |
| no monetization of transactions in FY26 |
Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Revenue reaches at least $3.5 million in 2026 | Revenue should reach at least $3.5 million in 2026. | Intact | revenue falls below $3.5 million in FY26 | Revenue: $367,251 FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: >=3.5 USD_MILLIONS. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Nov 4, 2026367,251 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$0.32 → $-0.34 · observed estimates
$0.10B → $0.04B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $0.32 | $98,250,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-25 | $0.32 | $98,250,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-26 | $0.32 | $98,250,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-27 | $0.32 | $98,250,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-28 | $0.32 | $98,250,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-29 | $0.32 | $98,250,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-30 | $0.32 | $98,250,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-31 | $0.32 | $98,250,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | $0.32 | $98,250,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | $0.32 | $98,250,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-03 | $0.32 | $98,250,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-04 | $0.32 | $98,250,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-05 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-06 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-07 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-09 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-10 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-12 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-13 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-14 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-17 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-18 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-19 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-20 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-21 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-24 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-25 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-26 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-27 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-01 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-02 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-10 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $-0.37 | $32,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $-0.34 | $42,008,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $-0.34 | $42,008,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $-0.34 | $42,008,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $-0.34 | $42,008,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $-0.34 | $42,008,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $-0.34 | $42,008,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $-0.34 | $42,008,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $-0.34 | $42,008,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $-0.34 | $42,008,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $-0.34 | $42,008,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | $-0.34 | $42,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 0 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.