Comstock Inc (LODE)
AMEXMaterialsOther Precious MetalsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$1.72+15.44%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
AMEXMaterialsOther Precious MetalsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LODE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name operates in a high-miss-rate industry and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 1 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
LODE — earnings miss
Dated 2026-11-04
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 4, 2026, Comstock Inc. announced its results of operations for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026. The news release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein and therefore is not to be considered “filed” with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”).
Why it matters: Management plans a second facility, but tied its equipment order to a successful ramp at the first plant. Progress would show the expansion plan is moving.
Supportive ifThe company gets permits for its second Nevada site. It reports an equipment order after the first plant ramps up.
Worry ifThe first plant fails to ramp up. Or, management reports no permit progress or equipment order for the second facility.
Why it matters: Management set a 25% capacity goal from August through year-end and a $5 million second-half revenue goal. Q3 results test the ramp.
Watch forQ3 results show plant use at or above 25% of rated capacity. Panel billings and revenue rise toward the $5 million second-half goal.
Also watch forQ3 results show the plant runs below 25% of rated capacity. Or, management cuts the $5 million second-half revenue goal.
Why it matters: Bioleum changed focus after a $16.4 million impairment. New funding or a working demo would show progress on its revised plan.
Watch forBioleum reports outside funding or starts a full demo with its current fuel and feedstock technology.
Also watch forBioleum reports no outside funding or demo start by year-end 2026. Or, it records another loss tied to its revised plan.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$257 on $10,000 · ±2.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $742 loss on $10,000 · 7.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,086 loss on $10,000 · 70.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.