Lantronix Inc (LTRX)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-11-05
$5.00-11.50%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LTRX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 49.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 16.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 33.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 12 industry peers
LTRX — earnings in line
Dated 2026-08-26
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 26, 2026, Lantronix, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release setting forth the Company’s financial results for its fourth fiscal quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. In addition, a transcript of management’s prepared remarks for the Company’s fourth quarter fiscal 2026 investor conference call and audio webcast, scheduled for 1:30 p.m. Pacific Time (4:3…
Why it matters: This is the next test of management's double-digit growth plan. Revenue below the guide would weaken that case.
Watch forQ1 FY2027 revenue is $31 million or more, within or above the $31M-$33M guide.
Also watch forQ1 FY2027 revenue is below $31 million.
Why it matters: Management set this share as a FY2027 goal. Meeting it would show that drone sales keep growing.
Supportive ifFY2027 results show unmanned systems revenue at 15% or more of total revenue.
Worry ifFY2027 results show unmanned systems revenue below 15% of total revenue.
Why it matters: Lantronix reported $0.04 in non-GAAP EPS in the last two quarters. A lower result would point to weaker earnings.
Watch forThe Nov. 9 report shows non-GAAP EPS of $0.04 or more, matching or topping the last two reported quarters.
Also watch forThe Nov. 9 report shows non-GAAP EPS below $0.04.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$287 on $10,000 · ±2.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $760 loss on $10,000 · 7.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,095 loss on $10,000 · 40.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.