Lantronix Inc (LTRX)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
$5.220.00%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LTRX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -25.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 16.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 41.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 23 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
LTRX — earnings in line
Dated 2026-08-26
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 26, 2026, Lantronix, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release setting forth the Company’s financial results for its fourth fiscal quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. In addition, a transcript of management’s prepared remarks for the Company’s fourth quarter fiscal 2026 investor conference call and audio webcast, scheduled for 1:30 p.m. Pacific Time (4:3…
Why it matters: This call will provide insights into revenue performance and future guidance.
Watch forEarnings call reveals strong revenue growth or positive guidance.
Also watch forEarnings call reveals weak revenue growth or negative guidance.
Why it matters: Higher growth would indicate strong demand and execution in the IoT space.
Supportive ifEmbedded IoT Solutions grew more than 22% compared to last year.
Worry ifEmbedded IoT Solutions grew less than 22% compared to last year.
Why it matters: Closing this offering helps the balance sheet. It supports future growth and stability.
Supportive ifThe stock offering closes successfully on June 1, 2026.
Worry ifThe stock offering fails to close or is significantly delayed.
Why it matters: If revenue growth falls below this level, it signals a slowdown in demand. This could hurt investor confidence.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth reported below 5%.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue growth reported above 5%.
Why it matters: Updates on this target can show future growth. It shows the company's long-term plan.
Watch forManagement sets a revenue goal for unmanned systems in fiscal 2027.
Also watch forNo updates or a lower revenue target for unmanned systems in fiscal 2027.
Why it matters: What management thinks about making money can show how the company will do. Good comments can help build trust.
Supportive ifManagement says they have plans to make more money in the next few quarters.
Worry ifManagement says they are facing problems with making money.
Why it matters: If revenue falls short, it may raise worries about growth and execution.
Worry ifQ4 FY2026 revenue reported below $29 million.
Less concerning ifQ4 FY2026 revenue meets or exceeds $29 million.
Why it matters: If unmanned systems revenue hits 15% to 20% of total, it shows strong growth. This can boost investor confidence in Lantronix's future.
Supportive ifUnmanned systems revenue reported at 15% or more of total revenue in fiscal 2027.
Worry ifUnmanned systems revenue is still under 15% of total revenue in fiscal 2027.
Why it matters: Hitting or beating this revenue goal shows growth. It proves the company is doing well.
Supportive ifQ1 FY2027 revenue reported at $31 million or more.
Worry ifQ1 FY2027 revenue reported below $31 million.
Why it matters: If drone revenue stays within this range, it confirms the growth strategy is on track. It shows demand for Lantronix's drone solutions.
Supportive ifDrone revenue reported within the $10 million to $14 million range for fiscal 2027.
Worry ifDrone revenue reported below $10 million for fiscal 2027.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$297 on $10,000 · ±3.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $743 loss on $10,000 · 7.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,095 loss on $10,000 · 40.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.